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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Ludovit Klein won · U-DEC R3
Elo1486
Thiago Moises
Elo1525
Ludovit Klein editorial illustration

Thiago MoisesvsLudovit KleinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Saturday, June 8, 2024Louisville, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Ludovit Klein won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupThiago Moises: Submission grapplervsLudovit Klein: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: Ludovit Klein wins(68.5%)

Actual result: Ludovit Klein wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ludovit Klein has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Ludovit Klein (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Thiago Moises
Red Corner
VS
Ludovit Klein
Blue Corner
Vegas Odds
1486
Elo
1525
31
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Thiago MoisesL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 23
W
KOvs Mitch Ramirez · Mar 24
W
vs Trey Ogden · Jan 25
L
KOvs Jared Gordon · May 25
L
DECvs Gauge Young · Apr 26
latest
Ludovit Klein
oldest →
W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Aug 23
W
KOvs AJ Cunningham · Mar 24
W
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Sep 24
L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · May 25
W
vs Mateusz Rebecki · Oct 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Thiago MoisesMetricLudovit Klein
2.52
Strikes / min
3.76
4.40
Strikes absorbed / min
3.48
52%
Strike defense
53%
1.37
TDs / 15 min
1.37
52%
Takedown defense
76%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.88Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap+0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1547 vs 1559Strikes2.4 vs 3.8Takedowns1.5 vs 1.7Sub Atts1.30 vs 0.00Form0.4 vs 0.9
Thiago MoisesLudovit Klein

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Thiago Moises(10 fights)Ludovit Klein(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -39.4|Blue +39.4
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Thiago MoisesTargetLudovit Klein

By target zone

7
19% acc · 29%
Head
24
35% acc · 43%
3
43% acc · 13%
Body
20
87% acc · 36%
14
88% acc · 58%
Leg
12
100% acc · 21%

By position

22
40% acc · 92%
Distance
45
58% acc · 80%
2
40% acc · 8%
Clinch
4
67% acc · 7%
0
Ground
7
35% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Thiago Moises rounds
0
even
3
Ludovit Klein rounds
Round 1Ludovit Klein edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:16
Knockdowns0
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:41Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Ludovit Klein edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:47
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:07Control
Round 3Ludovit Klein edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:20Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
2
24 / 60
Sig Strikes
56 / 104
37%
Sig Str %
53.7%
25 / 62
Total Strikes
86 / 153
0 / 8
TDs
1 / 1
0%
TD %
100%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:09
Ctrl Time
3:08

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ludovit Klein20 / 3826 / 450 / 00
1Thiago Moises11 / 2311 / 230 / 10
2Ludovit Klein19 / 3724 / 471 / 10
2Thiago Moises10 / 2310 / 230 / 31
3Ludovit Klein17 / 2936 / 610 / 00
3Thiago Moises3 / 144 / 160 / 40

Thiago Moises

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15

Ludovit Klein

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights11