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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Themba Gorimbo won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1489

Elo1496

Themba GorimbovsPete RodriguezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · Saturday, February 3, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Themba Gorimbo won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:32

Style matchupThemba Gorimbo: WrestlervsPete Rodriguez: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Themba Gorimbo wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Themba Gorimbo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Themba Gorimbo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Pete Rodriguez has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Pete Rodriguez (52.9%).
Themba Gorimbo has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Themba Gorimbo

Red Corner

Pete Rodriguez

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1489

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'1"

Height

5'9"

195.58 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Themba GorimboL3 streak

oldest →

vs Ramiz Brahimaj · May 24

vs Niko Price · Oct 24

SUBvs Vicente Luque · Dec 24

vs Jeremiah Wells · Nov 25

DECvs Jonathan Micallef · May 26

latest

Pete Rodriguez

oldest →

KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Jan 22

KOvs Mike Jackson · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Themba GorimboMetricPete Rodriguez

2.70

Strikes / min

9.28

1.75

Strikes absorbed / min

12.83

51%

Strike defense

42%

4.52

TDs / 15 min

0.00

73%

Takedown defense

100%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.95Δ 4.50 — meaningful gap-3.55

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Themba GorimboPete Rodriguez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Themba Gorimbo(8 fights)Pete Rodriguez(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -6.6|Blue +6.6

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -217.0|Blue +217.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Themba GorimboTargetPete Rodriguez

By target zone

63% acc · 83%

Head

0% acc

100% acc · 8%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 8%

Leg

0% acc

By position

50% acc · 25%

Distance

0% acc

100% acc · 17%

Clinch

70% acc · 58%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Themba Gorimbo rounds

even

Pete Rodriguez rounds

Round 1Themba Gorimbo edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 18

Sig Strikes

0 / 5

66%

Sig Str %

12 / 18

Total Strikes

0 / 5

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Pete Rodriguez	0 / 5	0 / 5	0 / 0	0
1	Themba Gorimbo	12 / 18	12 / 18	0 / 1	0

Themba Gorimbo

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7

Pete Rodriguez

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3