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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Teruto Ishihara won · U-DEC R3

Elo1371

Elo1491

Teruto IshiharavsRolando DyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · Friday, September 22, 2017Saitama, Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Teruto Ishihara won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Teruto Ishihara wins(65.1%)

Actual result: Teruto Ishihara wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Teruto Ishihara at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Teruto Ishihara enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Teruto Ishihara is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Rolando Dy has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Rolando Dy has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Teruto Ishihara (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Teruto Ishihara

Red Corner

Rolando Dy

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1371

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Teruto IshiharaL5 streak

oldest →

vs Artem Lobov · Nov 16

vs Gray Maynard · Jul 17

vs Jose Quinonez · Feb 18

KOvs Petr Yan · Jun 18

SUBvs Kyung Ho Kang · Feb 19

latest

Rolando Dy

oldest →

KOvs Alex Caceres · Jun 17

vs Wuliji Buren · Nov 17

KOvs Shane Young · Jun 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Teruto IshiharaMetricRolando Dy

3.26

Strikes / min

3.04

3.63

Strikes absorbed / min

4.47

53%

Strike defense

52%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

0.30

30%

Takedown defense

68%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap-1.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Teruto IshiharaRolando Dy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Teruto Ishihara(8 fights)Rolando Dy(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -120.5|Blue +120.5

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red +3.7|Blue -3.7

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -20.0|Blue +20.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Teruto IshiharaTargetRolando Dy

By target zone

42% acc · 64%

Head

49% acc · 63%

75% acc · 12%

Body

71% acc · 31%

92% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

42% acc · 50%

Distance

49% acc · 69%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 27%

62% acc · 46%

Ground

50% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Teruto Ishihara rounds

even

Rolando Dy rounds

Round 1Teruto Ishihara edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns1

Control4:29

Knockdowns1

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Rolando Dy edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:15

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Rolando Dy edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control1:13

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 98

Sig Strikes

48 / 85

50.3%

Sig Str %

59.7%

77 / 127

Total Strikes

52 / 89

2 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

41.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:57

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rolando Dy	4 / 6	7 / 9	0 / 0
1	Teruto Ishihara	25 / 42	52 / 71	1 / 1
2	Rolando Dy	21 / 45	21 / 45	0 / 0
2	Teruto Ishihara	14 / 35	14 / 35	0 / 1
3	Rolando Dy	23 / 34	24 / 35	0 / 0
3	Teruto Ishihara	11 / 21	11 / 21	1 / 4

Teruto Ishihara

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights8

Rolando Dy

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4