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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Petr Yan won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1371
Teruto Ishihara
Elo1532
Petr Yan

Teruto IshiharavsPetr YanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · Saturday, June 23, 2018Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Petr Yan won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:28

Model Prediction: Teruto Ishihara wins(51.6%)

Actual result: Petr Yan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Teruto Ishihara at +450 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Petr Yan has 56pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Petr Yan (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Teruto Ishihara
Red Corner
VS
Petr Yan
Blue Corner
+450
(18%)
Vegas Odds
-600
(86%)
1371
Elo
1532
35
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Teruto IshiharaL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Artem Lobov · Nov 16
L
vs Gray Maynard · Jul 17
W
vs Rolando Dy · Sep 17
L
vs Jose Quinonez · Feb 18
L
SUBvs Kyung Ho Kang · Feb 19
latest
Petr YanW4 streak
oldest →
L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Mar 23
W
vs Song Yadong · Mar 24
W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Nov 24
W
vs Marcus McGhee · Jul 25
W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Teruto IshiharaMetricPetr Yan
3.26
Strikes / min
5.16
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
4.24
53%
Strike defense
59%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
1.70
30%
Takedown defense
86%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1495 vs 1500Strikes38.1 vs Takedowns0.4 vs Sub Atts0.00 vs Form-0.3 vs 0.0
Teruto IshiharaPetr Yan

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Teruto Ishihara(8 fights)Petr Yan(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -161.6|Blue +161.6
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red -46.7|Blue +46.7
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Teruto IshiharaTargetPetr Yan

By target zone

4
22% acc · 36%
Head
18
56% acc · 72%
2
40% acc · 18%
Body
7
88% acc · 28%
5
71% acc · 45%
Leg
0

By position

9
32% acc · 82%
Distance
19
61% acc · 76%
2
100% acc · 18%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 4%
0
Ground
5
63% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Teruto Ishihara rounds
0
even
1
Petr Yan rounds
Round 1Petr Yan edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:18
Knockdowns0
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
2
11 / 30
Sig Strikes
25 / 40
36%
Sig Str %
62%
11 / 30
Total Strikes
29 / 45
0 / 2
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:18
Ctrl Time
0:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Petr Yan25 / 4029 / 450 / 00
1Teruto Ishihara11 / 3011 / 300 / 20

Teruto Ishihara

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8

Petr Yan

StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15