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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jose Quinonez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1371

Elo1393

Teruto IshiharavsJose QuinonezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · Saturday, February 10, 2018Perth, Western Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Jose Quinonez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jose Quinonez wins(77.5%)

Actual result: Jose Quinonez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jose Quinonez at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Teruto Ishihara is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Jose Quinonez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Jose Quinonez has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Teruto Ishihara (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Teruto Ishihara

Red Corner

Jose Quinonez

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1371

Elo

1393

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Teruto IshiharaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Artem Lobov · Nov 16

vs Gray Maynard · Jul 17

vs Rolando Dy · Sep 17

KOvs Petr Yan · Jun 18

SUBvs Kyung Ho Kang · Feb 19

latest

Jose QuinonezL2 streak

oldest →

vs Diego Rivas · Aug 17

SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Mar 19

vs Carlos Huachin · Sep 19

KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 20

KOvs Louis Smolka · Dec 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Teruto IshiharaMetricJose Quinonez

3.26

Strikes / min

3.60

3.63

Strikes absorbed / min

3.00

53%

Strike defense

64%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

2.70

30%

Takedown defense

42%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Teruto IshiharaJose Quinonez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Teruto Ishihara(8 fights)Jose Quinonez(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -22.0|Blue +22.0

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Layoff

Red -48.0|Blue +48.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Teruto IshiharaTargetJose Quinonez

By target zone

10% acc · 24%

Head

27% acc · 33%

50% acc · 18%

Body

75% acc · 12%

95% acc · 58%

Leg

87% acc · 55%

By position

28% acc · 88%

Distance

47% acc · 86%

57% acc · 12%

Clinch

78% acc · 14%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Teruto Ishihara rounds

even

Jose Quinonez rounds

Round 1Jose Quinonez edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:01

9Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:18Control

Round 2Teruto Ishihara edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control0:24

Knockdowns1

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Jose Quinonez edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 109

Sig Strikes

49 / 98

32.7%

Sig Str %

50%

35 / 111

Total Strikes

54 / 103

1 / 4

TDs

2 / 7

33.3%

TD %

13.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:25

Ctrl Time

3:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jose Quinonez	9 / 17	14 / 22	2 / 5
1	Teruto Ishihara	6 / 14	8 / 16	0 / 2
2	Jose Quinonez	19 / 39	19 / 39	0 / 1
2	Teruto Ishihara	10 / 47	10 / 47	1 / 1
3	Jose Quinonez	21 / 42	21 / 42	0 / 1
3	Teruto Ishihara	17 / 48	17 / 48	0 / 1

Teruto Ishihara

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights8

Jose Quinonez

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9