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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Teruto Ishihara won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1371

Elo1358

Teruto IshiharavsHoracio GutierrezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · Saturday, August 6, 2016Salt Lake City, Utah, USA

Official fight result

Teruto Ishihara won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:32

Model Prediction: Teruto Ishihara wins(72.0%)

Actual result: Teruto Ishihara wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Teruto Ishihara at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Teruto Ishihara enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Teruto Ishihara is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Horacio Gutierrez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Horacio Gutierrez has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Teruto Ishihara (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Teruto Ishihara

Red Corner

Horacio Gutierrez

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1371

Elo

1358

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'10"

175.26 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Teruto IshiharaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Gray Maynard · Jul 17

vs Rolando Dy · Sep 17

vs Jose Quinonez · Feb 18

KOvs Petr Yan · Jun 18

SUBvs Kyung Ho Kang · Feb 19

latest

Horacio Gutierrez

oldest →

vs Enrique Barzola · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Teruto IshiharaMetricHoracio Gutierrez

3.26

Strikes / min

0.86

3.63

Strikes absorbed / min

2.91

53%

Strike defense

46%

0.50

TDs / 15 min

0.00

30%

Takedown defense

50%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap-2.05

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Teruto IshiharaHoracio Gutierrez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Teruto Ishihara(8 fights)Horacio Gutierrez(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +13.0|Blue -13.0

Recent Form

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Striker Score

Red +5.5|Blue -5.5

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -105.0|Blue +105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Teruto IshiharaTargetHoracio Gutierrez

By target zone

41% acc · 54%

Head

7% acc · 20%

60% acc · 23%

Body

100% acc · 23%

Leg

100% acc · 80%

By position

42% acc · 62%

Distance

28% acc · 100%

Clinch

83% acc · 38%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Teruto Ishihara rounds

even

Horacio Gutierrez rounds

Round 1Teruto Ishihara edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:06

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 25

Sig Strikes

5 / 18

52%

Sig Str %

27%

13 / 25

Total Strikes

5 / 18

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:06

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Horacio Gutierrez	5 / 18	5 / 18	0 / 0	0
1	Teruto Ishihara	13 / 25	13 / 25	0 / 1	0

Teruto Ishihara

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights8

Horacio Gutierrez

Stance—

Height70.0"

Reach—

Fights2