Lightweight

3 Rounds

Renee Forte won · U-DEC R3

Elo1352

Elo1353

Terry EtimvsRenee ForteUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · Saturday, February 16, 2013London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Renee Forte won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Renee Forte wins(55.0%)

Actual result: Renee Forte wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Renee Forte at +320 American odds

+$320 profit

$420 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Renee Forte enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Terry Etim threatens submissions; Renee Forte has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Renee Forte has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Terry Etim

Red Corner

Renee Forte

Blue Corner

-355

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+320

(24%)

1352

Elo

1353

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'7"

185.42 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Terry Etim

oldest →

SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Apr 10

SUBvs Edward Faaloloto · Nov 11

KOvs Edson Barboza · Jan 12

latest

Renee ForteL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Sergio Moraes · Oct 12

KOvs John Makdessi · Sep 13

vs Francisco Trevino · Mar 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Terry EtimMetricRenee Forte

2.16

Strikes / min

2.08

2.53

Strikes absorbed / min

2.12

67%

Strike defense

63%

0.43

TDs / 15 min

2.32

39%

Takedown defense

66%

1.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37evenly matched on net striking-0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Terry EtimRenee Forte

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Terry Etim(4 fights)Renee Forte(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +273.0|Blue -273.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Terry EtimTargetRenee Forte

By target zone

10% acc · 38%

Head

37% acc · 81%

57% acc · 31%

Body

45% acc · 11%

67% acc · 31%

Leg

67% acc · 9%

By position

18% acc · 77%

Distance

28% acc · 34%

60% acc · 23%

Clinch

71% acc · 26%

Ground

43% acc · 40%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Terry Etim rounds

even

Renee Forte rounds

Round 1Renee Forte edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:02

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:30Control

Round 2Renee Forte edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

4:00Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Renee Forte edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 62

Sig Strikes

47 / 119

22%

Sig Str %

38%

14 / 63

Total Strikes

78 / 154

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 3

—

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

10:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Renee Forte	9 / 36	16 / 45	1 / 1
1	Terry Etim	5 / 29	6 / 30	0 / 0
2	Renee Forte	26 / 53	39 / 67	0 / 0
2	Terry Etim	5 / 22	5 / 22	0 / 0
3	Renee Forte	12 / 30	23 / 42	1 / 2
3	Terry Etim	3 / 11	3 / 11	0 / 0

Terry Etim

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4

Renee Forte

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights4