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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Rafael Dos Anjos won · SUB R2

Elo1352

Elo1491

Terry EtimvsRafael Dos AnjosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 112: Invincible · Saturday, April 10, 2010Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Rafael Dos Anjos won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:30

Model Prediction: Rafael Dos Anjos wins(70.4%)

Actual result: Rafael Dos Anjos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rafael Dos Anjos at +125 American odds

+$125 profit

$225 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Rafael Dos Anjos has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Dos Anjos (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Terry Etim

Red Corner

Rafael Dos Anjos

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1352

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

5'8"

185.42 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Terry EtimL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Edward Faaloloto · Nov 11

KOvs Edson Barboza · Jan 12

vs Renee Forte · Feb 13

latest

Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22

SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22

vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24

KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Terry EtimMetricRafael Dos Anjos

2.16

Strikes / min

3.48

2.53

Strikes absorbed / min

3.23

67%

Strike defense

60%

0.43

TDs / 15 min

1.95

39%

Takedown defense

54%

1.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Terry EtimRafael Dos Anjos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Terry Etim(4 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.6|Blue +138.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Terry EtimTargetRafael Dos Anjos

By target zone

25% acc · 43%

Head

47% acc · 64%

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 12%

67% acc · 57%

Leg

75% acc · 24%

By position

33% acc · 86%

Distance

12% acc · 8%

100% acc · 14%

Clinch

100% acc · 20%

0% acc

Ground

78% acc · 72%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Terry Etim rounds

even

Rafael Dos Anjos rounds

Round 1Rafael Dos Anjos edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control1:28

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:10Control

Round 2Rafael Dos Anjos edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:01

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:27Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 20

Sig Strikes

25 / 45

34.5%

Sig Str %

54.5%

11 / 25

Total Strikes

45 / 69

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 3

—

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

1:29

Ctrl Time

5:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rafael Dos Anjos	10 / 19	15 / 27	1 / 2	0
1	Terry Etim	4 / 11	8 / 16	0 / 0	1
2	Rafael Dos Anjos	15 / 26	30 / 42	1 / 1	1
2	Terry Etim	3 / 9	3 / 9	0 / 0	0

Terry Etim

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4

Rafael Dos Anjos

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights32