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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Terrance McKinney won · SUB R1

Elo1504

Terrance McKinney editorial illustration

Elo1471

Terrance McKinneyvsViacheslav BorshchevUFC Prediction Result

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Saturday, June 28, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Terrance McKinney won

SUB · Round 1 · 0:55

Style matchupTerrance McKinney: WrestlervsViacheslav Borshchev: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Terrance McKinney wins(89.4%)

Actual result: Terrance McKinney wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Terrance McKinney at -172 American odds

+$58 profit

$158 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Viacheslav Borshchev is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Terrance McKinney has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Viacheslav Borshchev has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Terrance McKinney has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Terrance McKinney (52.9%).
Terrance McKinney has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Terrance McKinney

Red Corner

Viacheslav Borshchev

Blue Corner

-172

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+144

(41%)

1504

Elo

1471

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Terrance McKinney

oldest →

KOvs Esteban Ribovics · May 24

KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 25

SUBvs Chris Duncan · Dec 25

KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 26

KOvs King Green · Jul 26

latest

Viacheslav BorshchevL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Maheshate · May 23

SUBvs Chase Hooper · May 24

vs James Llontop · Aug 24

vs Tom Nolan · Feb 25

vs Matheus Camilo · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Terrance McKinneyMetricViacheslav Borshchev

6.53

Strikes / min

5.10

3.45

Strikes absorbed / min

4.46

43%

Strike defense

57%

3.31

TDs / 15 min

0.00

72%

Takedown defense

43%

2.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+3.08Δ 2.44 — meaningful gap+0.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Terrance McKinneyViacheslav Borshchev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Terrance McKinney(10 fights)Viacheslav Borshchev(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +32.3|Blue -32.3

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Terrance McKinneyTargetViacheslav Borshchev

By target zone

50% acc · 100%

Head

Body

100% acc · 50%

Leg

100% acc · 50%

By position

Distance

100% acc · 100%

Clinch

50% acc · 100%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Terrance McKinney rounds

even

Viacheslav Borshchev rounds

Round 1Terrance McKinney edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns1

Control0:47

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1 / 2

Sig Strikes

2 / 2

50%

Sig Str %

100%

1 / 2

Total Strikes

2 / 2

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:47

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Viacheslav Borshchev	2 / 2	2 / 2	0 / 0	0
1	Terrance McKinney	1 / 2	1 / 2	1 / 1	2

Terrance McKinney

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights14

Viacheslav Borshchev

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9