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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Terrance McKinney won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1504

Terrance McKinney editorial illustration

Elo1488

Terrance McKinneyvsBrendon MarotteUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Saturday, October 14, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Terrance McKinney won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:20

Model Prediction: Terrance McKinney wins(82.3%)

Actual result: Terrance McKinney wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Terrance McKinney is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Brendon Marotte has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Terrance McKinney has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Terrance McKinney has 72pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Terrance McKinney (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Terrance McKinney

Red Corner

Brendon Marotte

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1504

Elo

1488

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Terrance McKinney

oldest →

KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 25

SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · Jun 25

SUBvs Chris Duncan · Dec 25

KOvs Kyle Nelson · Mar 26

KOvs King Green · Jul 26

latest

Brendon Marotte

oldest →

SUBvs Isaac Dulgarian · Sep 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Terrance McKinneyMetricBrendon Marotte

6.53

Strikes / min

0.41

3.45

Strikes absorbed / min

5.70

43%

Strike defense

28%

3.31

TDs / 15 min

0.00

72%

Takedown defense

2.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+3.08Δ 8.37 — meaningful gap-5.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Terrance McKinneyBrendon Marotte

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Terrance McKinney(10 fights)Brendon Marotte(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.0|Blue -16.0

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Terrance McKinneyTargetBrendon Marotte

By target zone

67% acc · 100%

Head

Body

Leg

100% acc · 100%

By position

0% acc

Distance

100% acc · 100%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

68% acc · 93%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Terrance McKinney rounds

even

Brendon Marotte rounds

Round 1Terrance McKinney edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:15

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 21

Sig Strikes

1 / 1

66%

Sig Str %

100%

14 / 21

Total Strikes

1 / 1

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brendon Marotte	1 / 1	1 / 1	0 / 0	0
1	Terrance McKinney	14 / 21	14 / 21	0 / 0	0

Terrance McKinney

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights14

Brendon Marotte

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights2