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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Taylor Lapilus won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1510
Taylor Lapilus
Elo1491

Taylor LapilusvsUlka SasakiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · Saturday, June 20, 2015Berlin, Berlin, Germany

Official fight result

Taylor Lapilus won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:26

Model Prediction: Taylor Lapilus wins(68.8%)

Actual result: Taylor Lapilus wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Taylor Lapilus at +240 American odds

+$240 profit

$340 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Taylor Lapilus
Red Corner
VS
Ulka Sasaki
Blue Corner
+240
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
1510
Elo
1491
34
Age
25
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Taylor LapilusW2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Leandro Issa · Sep 16
W
vs Caolan Loughran · Sep 23
L
vs Farid Basharat · Jan 24
W
vs Cody Stamann · Jun 24
W
vs Vince Morales · Sep 24
latest
Ulka Sasaki
oldest →
L
DECvs Wilson Reis · Feb 17
W
SUBvs Justin Scoggins · Jun 17
L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Sep 17
W
SUBvs Jenel Lausa · Jun 18
L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Nov 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Taylor LapilusMetricUlka Sasaki
4.59
Strikes / min
—
2.61
Strikes absorbed / min
—
62%
Strike defense
—
0.27
TDs / 15 min
—
77%
Takedown defense
—
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1500Strikes80.0 vs 6.5Takedowns2.0 vs 0.5Sub Atts1.00 vs 1.00Form1.0 vs -0.2
Taylor LapilusUlka Sasaki

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Taylor Lapilus(8 fights)Ulka Sasaki(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +19.1|Blue -19.1
Recent Form
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Striker Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Taylor Lapilus

StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8

Ulka Sasaki

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1