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Flyweight
5 Rounds
Tatsuro Taira won · SUB R2
Elo1526
Tatsuro Taira
Elo1491
HyunSung Park

Tatsuro TairavsHyunSung ParkUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Saturday, August 2, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tatsuro Taira won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:06

Style matchupTatsuro Taira: WrestlervsHyunSung Park: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Tatsuro Taira wins(70.3%)

Actual result: Tatsuro Taira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tatsuro Taira at -275 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • HyunSung Park has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Tatsuro Taira has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tatsuro Taira
Red Corner
VS
HyunSung Park
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+270
(27%)
1526
Elo
1491
26
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tatsuro Taira
oldest →
W
KOvs Carlos Hernandez · Dec 23
W
KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 24
L
vs Brandon Royval · Oct 24
W
KOvs Brandon Moreno · Dec 25
L
KOvs Joshua Van · May 26
latest
HyunSung Park
oldest →
W
SUBvs SeungGuk Choi · Feb 23
W
KOvs Shannon Ross · Dec 23
W
SUBvs Carlos Hernandez · May 25
L
SUBvs Bruno Silva · Oct 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tatsuro TairaMetricHyunSung Park
2.87
Strikes / min
3.38
3.10
Strikes absorbed / min
3.14
44%
Strike defense
55%
3.57
TDs / 15 min
1.50
46%
Takedown defense
47%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1571 vs 1544Strikes2.9 vs 3.4Takedowns3.1 vs 1.5Sub Atts1.60 vs 1.80Form0.3 vs 1.0
Tatsuro TairaHyunSung Park

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801500152015401560← oldermost recent →
Tatsuro Taira(10 fights)HyunSung Park(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +34.9|Blue -34.9
Recent Form
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +217.0|Blue -217.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tatsuro TairaTargetHyunSung Park

By target zone

6
60% acc · 86%
Head
1
17% acc · 33%
0
Body
0
1
100% acc · 14%
Leg
2
67% acc · 67%

By position

4
57% acc · 57%
Distance
2
29% acc · 67%
0
Clinch
0
0% acc
3
75% acc · 43%
Ground
1
100% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Tatsuro Taira rounds
0
even
0
HyunSung Park rounds
Round 1Tatsuro Taira edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns2
Control3:56
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Tatsuro Taira edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns2
Control0:45
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
7 / 11
Sig Strikes
3 / 9
58%
Sig Str %
32.5%
13 / 20
Total Strikes
15 / 21
4 / 5
TDs
0 / 0
83%
TD %
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
4:41
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1HyunSung Park2 / 514 / 170 / 00
1Tatsuro Taira6 / 912 / 182 / 20
2HyunSung Park1 / 41 / 40 / 00
2Tatsuro Taira1 / 21 / 22 / 31

Tatsuro Taira

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10

HyunSung Park

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5