← All fights/Event page

Catch Weight

3 Rounds

Tatsuro Taira won · U-DEC R3

Elo1526

Elo1542

Tatsuro TairavsEdgar ChairezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, July 8, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tatsuro Taira won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Tatsuro Taira wins(82.0%)

Actual result: Tatsuro Taira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Edgar Chairez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Tatsuro Taira

Red Corner

Edgar Chairez

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1526

Elo

1542

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

177.8 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tatsuro Taira

oldest →

KOvs Alex Perez · Jun 24

vs Brandon Royval · Oct 24

SUBvs HyunSung Park · Aug 25

KOvs Brandon Moreno · Dec 25

KOvs Joshua Van · May 26

latest

Edgar ChairezW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Daniel Lacerda · Feb 24

vs Joshua Van · Sep 24

SUBvs CJ Vergara · Mar 25

vs Felipe Bunes · Feb 26

SUBvs Bruno Silva · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tatsuro TairaMetricEdgar Chairez

2.87

Strikes / min

3.65

3.10

Strikes absorbed / min

4.75

44%

Strike defense

46%

3.57

TDs / 15 min

0.00

46%

Takedown defense

38%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.23evenly matched on net striking-1.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tatsuro TairaEdgar Chairez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tatsuro Taira(10 fights)Edgar Chairez(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -15.8|Blue +15.8

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.2|Blue +49.2

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tatsuro TairaTargetEdgar Chairez

By target zone

74% acc · 66%

Head

65% acc · 60%

50% acc · 3%

Body

83% acc · 20%

95% acc · 31%

Leg

56% acc · 20%

By position

72% acc · 43%

Distance

66% acc · 100%

Clinch

83% acc · 57%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tatsuro Taira rounds

even

Edgar Chairez rounds

Round 1Tatsuro Taira edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control2:43

Knockdowns0

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Tatsuro Taira edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control4:10

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 3Tatsuro Taira edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control3:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

61 / 78

Sig Strikes

25 / 38

77.3%

Sig Str %

62.7%

121 / 148

Total Strikes

26 / 39

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

75%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

9:53

Ctrl Time

0:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Edgar Chairez	6 / 10	6 / 10	0 / 0	1
1	Tatsuro Taira	27 / 30	36 / 39	0 / 0	0
2	Edgar Chairez	4 / 7	5 / 8	0 / 0	0
2	Tatsuro Taira	17 / 26	57 / 76	1 / 1	1
3	Edgar Chairez	15 / 21	15 / 21	0 / 0	1
3	Tatsuro Taira	17 / 22	28 / 33	1 / 2	0

Tatsuro Taira

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights10

Edgar Chairez

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7