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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Tatiana Suarez won · U-DEC R3
Elo1527
Tatiana Suarez
Elo1366
Viviane Pereira

Tatiana SuarezvsViviane PereiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · Saturday, November 11, 2017Norfolk, Virginia, USA

Official fight result

Tatiana Suarez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Viviane Pereira wins(52.9%)

Actual result: Tatiana Suarez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Viviane Pereira at +243 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Viviane Pereira has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Tatiana Suarez has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Tatiana Suarez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Tatiana Suarez
Red Corner
VS
Viviane Pereira
Blue Corner
-285
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+243
(29%)
1527
Elo
1366
35
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'1"
167.64 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tatiana SuarezW2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 23
W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Aug 23
L
vs Zhang Weili · Feb 25
W
vs Amanda Lemos · Sep 25
W
SUBvs Loopy Godinez · Apr 26
latest
Viviane Pereira
oldest →
W
vs Valerie Letourneau · Dec 16
W
vs Jamie Moyle · Jun 17
L
DECvs Yan Xiaonan · Jun 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tatiana SuarezMetricViviane Pereira
2.86
Strikes / min
2.70
1.63
Strikes absorbed / min
4.48
44%
Strike defense
58%
4.52
TDs / 15 min
0.25
57%
Takedown defense
28%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.23Δ 3.01 — meaningful gap-1.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1533Strikes16.0 vs 52.5Takedowns3.0 vs 0.5Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Tatiana SuarezViviane Pereira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Tatiana Suarez(10 fights)Viviane Pereira(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +161.3|Blue -161.3
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +330.0|Blue -330.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tatiana SuarezTargetViviane Pereira

By target zone

45
58% acc · 63%
Head
10
56% acc · 77%
14
93% acc · 20%
Body
2
50% acc · 15%
12
86% acc · 17%
Leg
1
100% acc · 8%

By position

11
37% acc · 15%
Distance
7
50% acc · 54%
3
75% acc · 4%
Clinch
2
67% acc · 15%
57
79% acc · 80%
Ground
4
67% acc · 31%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Tatiana Suarez rounds
0
even
0
Viviane Pereira rounds
Round 1Tatiana Suarez edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control3:57
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Tatiana Suarez edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns2
Control4:25
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Tatiana Suarez edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control4:09
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
71 / 106
Sig Strikes
13 / 23
67.3%
Sig Str %
55.7%
144 / 197
Total Strikes
69 / 104
4 / 5
TDs
0 / 0
83.3%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
12:31
Ctrl Time
0:06

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Viviane Pereira8 / 1424 / 370 / 01
1Tatiana Suarez21 / 3144 / 621 / 20
2Viviane Pereira2 / 429 / 450 / 00
2Tatiana Suarez29 / 4652 / 732 / 20
3Viviane Pereira3 / 516 / 220 / 00
3Tatiana Suarez21 / 2948 / 621 / 10

Tatiana Suarez

StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9

Viviane Pereira

StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights4