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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Tatiana Suarez won · U-DEC R3
Elo1527
Tatiana Suarez
Elo1492

Tatiana SuarezvsNina AnsaroffUFC Prediction Result

UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · Saturday, June 8, 2019Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Tatiana Suarez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Tatiana Suarez wins(67.9%)

Actual result: Tatiana Suarez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tatiana Suarez at -750 American odds

+$13 profit

$113 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Nina Ansaroff enters on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Tatiana Suarez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Tatiana Suarez
Red Corner
VS
Nina Ansaroff
Blue Corner
-750
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+525
(16%)
1527
Elo
1492
35
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tatiana SuarezW2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 23
W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Aug 23
L
vs Zhang Weili · Feb 25
W
vs Amanda Lemos · Sep 25
W
SUBvs Loopy Godinez · Apr 26
latest
Nina AnsaroffW4 streak
oldest →
L
vs Justine Kish · Jan 16
W
SUBvs Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger · Jan 17
W
vs Angela Hill · Nov 17
W
vs Randa Markos · Jul 18
W
vs Claudia Gadelha · Dec 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tatiana SuarezMetricNina Ansaroff
2.86
Strikes / min
—
1.63
Strikes absorbed / min
—
44%
Strike defense
—
4.52
TDs / 15 min
—
57%
Takedown defense
—
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1562 vs 1533Strikes42.8 vs 75.2Takedowns4.5 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.67Form1.0 vs 0.9
Tatiana SuarezNina Ansaroff

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901503151515281540← oldermost recent →
Tatiana Suarez(10 fights)Nina Ansaroff(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +35.7|Blue -35.7
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +91.0|Blue -91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Tatiana Suarez

StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9

Nina Ansaroff

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights1