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Women's Strawweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Tatiana Suarez won · SUB R1
Elo1527
Tatiana Suarez
Elo1369

Tatiana SuarezvsAmanda CooperUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · Friday, July 8, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tatiana Suarez won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:43

Style matchupTatiana Suarez: WrestlervsAmanda Cooper: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Tatiana Suarez wins(51.3%)

Actual result: Tatiana Suarez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tatiana Suarez at -370 American odds

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Tatiana Suarez threatens submissions; Amanda Cooper has lost 75% of fights by sub.
  • Tatiana Suarez has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Amanda Cooper (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Tatiana Suarez
Red Corner
VS
Amanda Cooper
Blue Corner
-370
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
1527
Elo
1369
35
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'5"
Height
5'3"
167.64 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tatiana SuarezW2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 23
W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · Aug 23
L
vs Zhang Weili · Feb 25
W
vs Amanda Lemos · Sep 25
W
SUBvs Loopy Godinez · Apr 26
latest
Amanda CooperL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Anna Elmose · Nov 16
L
SUBvs Cynthia Calvillo · Mar 17
W
KOvs Angela Magana · Dec 17
L
SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · May 18
L
vs Ashley Yoder · Nov 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tatiana SuarezMetricAmanda Cooper
2.86
Strikes / min
3.55
1.63
Strikes absorbed / min
3.20
44%
Strike defense
51%
4.52
TDs / 15 min
1.53
57%
Takedown defense
28%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.23evenly matched on net striking+0.35
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Tatiana Suarez(10 fights)Amanda Cooper(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +158.7|Blue -158.7
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tatiana SuarezTargetAmanda Cooper

By target zone

15
83% acc · 94%
Head
1
25% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 6%
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

1
50% acc · 6%
Distance
1
25% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
15
88% acc · 94%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Tatiana Suarez rounds
0
even
0
Amanda Cooper rounds
Round 1Tatiana Suarez edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns3
Control2:59
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
16 / 19
Sig Strikes
1 / 4
84%
Sig Str %
25%
38 / 43
Total Strikes
4 / 7
3 / 3
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
1
Sub Att
2
0
Rev
1
2:59
Ctrl Time
0:26

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Amanda Cooper1 / 44 / 70 / 02
1Tatiana Suarez16 / 1938 / 433 / 31

Tatiana Suarez

StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9

Amanda Cooper

StanceSwitch
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights6