Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tanner Boser won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1484
Tanner Boser
Elo1492

Tanner BoservsRaphael PessoaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · Saturday, July 25, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Tanner Boser won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:36

Model Prediction: Tanner Boser wins(68.4%)

Actual result: Tanner Boser wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tanner Boser at -278 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Tanner Boser has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Raphael Pessoa has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Tanner Boser
Red Corner
VS
Raphael Pessoa
Blue Corner
-278
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
1484
Elo
1492
34
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'3"
190.5 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tanner Boser
oldest →
W
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Jun 21
L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Sep 22
L
KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Apr 23
W
vs Aleksa Camur · Aug 23
L
KOvs Gokhan Saricam · Apr 26
latest
Raphael PessoaNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tanner BoserMetricRaphael Pessoa
4.82
Strikes / min
2.16
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.43
57%
Strike defense
42%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
69%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.82Δ 3.09 — meaningful gap-1.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1513 vs 1500Strikes4.3 vs 2.4Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.4 vs 0.0
Tanner BoserRaphael Pessoa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Tanner Boser(10 fights)Raphael Pessoa(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -8.0|Blue +8.0
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tanner BoserTargetRaphael Pessoa

By target zone

15
48% acc · 35%
Head
6
21% acc · 50%
7
100% acc · 16%
Body
2
100% acc · 17%
21
95% acc · 49%
Leg
4
67% acc · 33%

By position

34
71% acc · 79%
Distance
12
34% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0% acc
9
75% acc · 21%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Tanner Boser rounds
0
even
0
Raphael Pessoa rounds
Round 1Tanner Boser edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Tanner Boser edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:06
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
43 / 60
Sig Strikes
12 / 36
69.5%
Sig Str %
33%
43 / 60
Total Strikes
13 / 37
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 1
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:06
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Raphael Pessoa5 / 165 / 160 / 00
1Tanner Boser15 / 2415 / 240 / 00
2Raphael Pessoa7 / 208 / 210 / 10
2Tanner Boser28 / 3628 / 360 / 00

Tanner Boser

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10

Raphael Pessoa

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights1