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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Tanner Boser won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1484

Elo1497

Tanner BoservsOvince Saint PreuxUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · Saturday, June 26, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tanner Boser won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:31

Style matchupTanner Boser: StrikervsOvince Saint Preux: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Tanner Boser wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Tanner Boser wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tanner Boser at -195 American odds

+$51 profit

$151 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tanner Boser has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
Ovince Saint Preux has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tanner Boser

Red Corner

Ovince Saint Preux

Blue Corner

-195

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+153

(40%)

1484

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tanner Boser

oldest →

vs Ilir Latifi · Jun 21

vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Sep 22

KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Apr 23

vs Aleksa Camur · Aug 23

KOvs Gokhan Saricam · Apr 26

latest

Ovince Saint Preux

oldest →

KOvs Jamahal Hill · Dec 20

vs Mauricio Rua · May 22

KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23

vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24

SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tanner BoserMetricOvince Saint Preux

4.82

Strikes / min

3.03

3.00

Strikes absorbed / min

3.33

57%

Strike defense

47%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.09

69%

Takedown defense

67%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.82Δ 2.12 — meaningful gap-0.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tanner BoserOvince Saint Preux

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tanner Boser(10 fights)Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -12.8|Blue +12.8

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -182.0|Blue +182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tanner BoserTargetOvince Saint Preux

By target zone

23% acc · 30%

Head

15% acc · 22%

67% acc · 30%

Body

86% acc · 67%

100% acc · 39%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

45% acc · 94%

Distance

43% acc · 100%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

50% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tanner Boser rounds

even

Ovince Saint Preux rounds

Round 1Tanner Boser edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Tanner Boser edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:16

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:12Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 72

Sig Strikes

9 / 21

44.5%

Sig Str %

38.5%

33 / 72

Total Strikes

12 / 26

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 5

—

TD %

12.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:16

Ctrl Time

1:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ovince Saint Preux	8 / 18	8 / 18	0 / 1
1	Tanner Boser	25 / 53	25 / 53	0 / 0
2	Ovince Saint Preux	1 / 3	4 / 8	1 / 4
2	Tanner Boser	8 / 19	8 / 19	0 / 0

Tanner Boser

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10

Ovince Saint Preux

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights28