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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Tanner Boser won · U-DEC R3

Elo1484

Elo1469

Tanner BoservsAleksa CamurUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · Saturday, August 5, 2023Nashville, Tennessee, USA

Official fight result

Tanner Boser won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTanner Boser: StrikervsAleksa Camur: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Tanner Boser wins(54.9%)

Actual result: Tanner Boser wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tanner Boser at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tanner Boser enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tanner Boser has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Tanner Boser

Red Corner

Aleksa Camur

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1484

Elo

1469

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tanner BoserL3 streak

oldest →

vs Ilir Latifi · Jun 21

KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Jun 21

vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Sep 22

KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Apr 23

KOvs Gokhan Saricam · Apr 26

latest

Aleksa CamurL2 streak

oldest →

vs Justin Ledet · Jan 20

vs William Knight · Sep 20

vs Nicolae Negumereanu · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tanner BoserMetricAleksa Camur

4.82

Strikes / min

4.73

3.00

Strikes absorbed / min

4.26

57%

Strike defense

54%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.46

69%

Takedown defense

50%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.82Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tanner BoserAleksa Camur

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tanner Boser(10 fights)Aleksa Camur(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +15.2|Blue -15.2

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -665.0|Blue +665.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tanner BoserTargetAleksa Camur

By target zone

48% acc · 65%

Head

35% acc · 50%

75% acc · 20%

Body

89% acc · 37%

90% acc · 15%

Leg

82% acc · 13%

By position

50% acc · 73%

Distance

43% acc · 68%

80% acc · 28%

Clinch

79% acc · 32%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tanner Boser rounds

even

Aleksa Camur rounds

Round 1Tanner Boser edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:12

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:50Control

Round 2Tanner Boser edged it

Sig. strikes46

Takedowns0

Control3:02

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Tanner Boser edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control2:13

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

120 / 215

Sig Strikes

68 / 136

55.3%

Sig Str %

49.7%

145 / 253

Total Strikes

105 / 175

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:27

Ctrl Time

1:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Aleksa Camur	23 / 45	24 / 46	0 / 1
1	Tanner Boser	33 / 71	38 / 81	0 / 0
2	Aleksa Camur	19 / 41	37 / 60	0 / 0
2	Tanner Boser	46 / 70	56 / 84	0 / 0
3	Aleksa Camur	26 / 50	44 / 69	0 / 0
3	Tanner Boser	41 / 74	51 / 88	0 / 0

Tanner Boser

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10

Aleksa Camur

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4