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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Tamires Vidal won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1481

Elo1438

Tamires VidalvsRamona PascualUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Saturday, November 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tamires Vidal won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:06

Model Prediction: Tamires Vidal wins(55.6%)

Actual result: Tamires Vidal wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tamires Vidal at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tamires Vidal enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ramona Pascual has 65pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ramona Pascual (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Tamires Vidal

Red Corner

Ramona Pascual

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1481

Elo

1438

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'7"

172.72 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tamires VidalL3 streak

oldest →

vs Montserrat Rendon · Sep 23

KOvs Melissa Gatto · May 24

SUBvs Joselyne Edwards · Oct 24

latest

Ramona PascualL2 streak

oldest →

vs Josiane Nunes · Feb 22

vs Joselyne Edwards · Jun 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tamires VidalMetricRamona Pascual

2.91

Strikes / min

3.87

4.46

Strikes absorbed / min

8.43

49%

Strike defense

46%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

1.81

35%

Takedown defense

100%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.55Δ 3.01 — meaningful gap-4.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tamires VidalRamona Pascual

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tamires Vidal(4 fights)Ramona Pascual(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +42.6|Blue -42.6

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tamires VidalTargetRamona Pascual

By target zone

35% acc · 35%

Head

75% acc · 23%

88% acc · 41%

Body

100% acc · 38%

100% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 38%

By position

52% acc · 76%

Distance

100% acc · 77%

100% acc · 24%

Clinch

75% acc · 23%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tamires Vidal rounds

even

Ramona Pascual rounds

Round 1Tamires Vidal edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:56

Knockdowns1

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 29

Sig Strikes

13 / 14

58%

Sig Str %

92%

22 / 34

Total Strikes

17 / 18

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:56

Ctrl Time

0:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ramona Pascual	13 / 14	17 / 18	0 / 0	0
1	Tamires Vidal	17 / 29	22 / 34	0 / 1	0

Tamires Vidal

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4

Ramona Pascual

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights3