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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Viviane Araujo won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1492
Talita Bernardo
Elo1497

Talita BernardovsViviane AraujoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · Saturday, May 11, 2019Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Viviane Araujo won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:48

Model Prediction: Talita Bernardo wins(60.5%)

Actual result: Viviane Araujo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Talita Bernardo at -280 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Viviane Araujo has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Talita Bernardo
Red Corner
VS
Viviane Araujo
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
1492
Elo
1497
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Talita Bernardo
oldest →
L
KOvs Marion Reneau · Sep 17
L
vs Irene Aldana · Jan 18
W
vs Sarah Moras · Oct 18
latest
Viviane Araujo
oldest →
L
vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 23
W
vs Jennifer Maia · Oct 23
L
vs Natalia Silva · Feb 24
W
vs Karine Silva · Nov 24
L
vs Tracy Cortez · Jun 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Talita BernardoMetricViviane Araujo
3.12
Strikes / min
3.84
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
4.83
55%
Strike defense
55%
1.62
TDs / 15 min
1.72
28%
Takedown defense
75%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.92evenly matched on net striking-0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1500Strikes42.7 vs —Takedowns2.0 vs —Sub Atts0.67 vs —Form0.1 vs 0.0
Talita BernardoViviane Araujo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Talita Bernardo(4 fights)Viviane Araujo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -5.4|Blue +5.4
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Talita BernardoTargetViviane Araujo

By target zone

28
25% acc · 61%
Head
34
43% acc · 56%
8
67% acc · 17%
Body
9
64% acc · 15%
10
83% acc · 22%
Leg
18
82% acc · 30%

By position

45
34% acc · 98%
Distance
57
51% acc · 93%
1
50% acc · 2%
Clinch
0
0
Ground
4
100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Talita Bernardo rounds
0
even
3
Viviane Araujo rounds
Round 1Viviane Araujo edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:30Control
Round 2Viviane Araujo edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:12
27Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:45Control
Round 3Viviane Araujo edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
46 / 136
Sig Strikes
61 / 115
32.3%
Sig Str %
54%
51 / 141
Total Strikes
66 / 120
0 / 3
TDs
3 / 3
0%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:12
Ctrl Time
1:16

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Viviane Araujo25 / 5627 / 581 / 10
1Talita Bernardo17 / 5917 / 590 / 10
2Viviane Araujo27 / 4330 / 462 / 20
2Talita Bernardo24 / 6029 / 650 / 20
3Viviane Araujo9 / 169 / 160 / 00
3Talita Bernardo5 / 175 / 170 / 00

Talita Bernardo

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4

Viviane Araujo

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights13