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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Takanori Gomi won · S-DEC R3

Elo1362

Elo1353

Takanori GomivsMac DanzigUFC Prediction Result

UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · Saturday, November 10, 2012Macau, China

Official fight result

Takanori Gomi won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Mac Danzig wins(67.1%)

Actual result: Takanori Gomi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mac Danzig at -185 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Takanori Gomi enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Takanori Gomi has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Takanori Gomi (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Takanori Gomi

Red Corner

Mac Danzig

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-185

(65%)

1362

Elo

1353

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Takanori GomiL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Myles Jury · Sep 14

KOvs Joe Lauzon · Jul 15

KOvs Jim Miller · Jul 16

SUBvs Jon Tuck · Jun 17

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Sep 17

latest

Mac DanzigL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joe Stevenson · Dec 10

vs Matt Wiman · Oct 11

vs Efrain Escudero · Apr 12

KOvs Melvin Guillard · Jul 13

vs Joe Lauzon · Dec 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Takanori GomiMetricMac Danzig

3.81

Strikes / min

3.39

3.52

Strikes absorbed / min

3.44

60%

Strike defense

57%

1.23

TDs / 15 min

1.20

63%

Takedown defense

46%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.05

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Takanori GomiMac Danzig

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Takanori Gomi(10 fights)Mac Danzig(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.2|Blue -9.2

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Takanori GomiTargetMac Danzig

By target zone

29% acc · 57%

Head

49% acc · 75%

58% acc · 20%

Body

56% acc · 14%

92% acc · 22%

Leg

78% acc · 11%

By position

34% acc · 80%

Distance

50% acc · 80%

91% acc · 19%

Clinch

69% acc · 14%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

57% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Takanori Gomi rounds

even

Mac Danzig rounds

Round 1Mac Danzig edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control0:40

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:18Control

Round 2Mac Danzig edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:23

28Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:08Control

Round 3Takanori Gomi edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control3:18

Knockdowns1

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 140

Sig Strikes

64 / 122

41.3%

Sig Str %

52.3%

88 / 175

Total Strikes

95 / 155

1 / 2

TDs

2 / 5

50%

TD %

44.3%

Sub Att

Rev

4:21

Ctrl Time

1:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mac Danzig	23 / 46	36 / 59	1 / 1	0
1	Takanori Gomi	15 / 50	16 / 51	1 / 1	0
2	Mac Danzig	28 / 52	30 / 54	1 / 3	1
2	Takanori Gomi	23 / 62	26 / 65	0 / 0	0
3	Mac Danzig	13 / 24	29 / 42	0 / 1	0
3	Takanori Gomi	16 / 28	46 / 59	0 / 1	0

Takanori Gomi

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights13

Mac Danzig

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7