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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Takanori Gomi won · U-DEC R3

Elo1362

Elo1354

Takanori GomivsIsaac Vallie-FlaggUFC Prediction Result

UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · Saturday, April 26, 2014Baltimore, Maryland, USA

Official fight result

Takanori Gomi won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTakanori Gomi: Well-roundedvsIsaac Vallie-Flagg: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Isaac Vallie-Flagg wins(67.5%)

Actual result: Takanori Gomi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Isaac Vallie-Flagg at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Takanori Gomi enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Takanori Gomi has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Takanori Gomi (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Takanori Gomi

Red Corner

Isaac Vallie-Flagg

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1362

Elo

1354

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Takanori GomiL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Myles Jury · Sep 14

KOvs Joe Lauzon · Jul 15

KOvs Jim Miller · Jul 16

SUBvs Jon Tuck · Jun 17

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Sep 17

latest

Isaac Vallie-FlaggL2 streak

oldest →

vs Yves Edwards · Feb 13

vs Elias Silverio · Jan 14

vs Matt Wiman · Nov 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Takanori GomiMetricIsaac Vallie-Flagg

3.81

Strikes / min

5.56

3.52

Strikes absorbed / min

5.60

60%

Strike defense

45%

1.23

TDs / 15 min

0.20

63%

Takedown defense

58%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Takanori GomiIsaac Vallie-Flagg

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Takanori Gomi(10 fights)Isaac Vallie-Flagg(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.0|Blue -8.0

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +319.0|Blue -319.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Takanori GomiTargetIsaac Vallie-Flagg

By target zone

48% acc · 68%

Head

38% acc · 57%

76% acc · 26%

Body

79% acc · 29%

80% acc · 6%

Leg

88% acc · 14%

By position

119

52% acc · 92%

Distance

47% acc · 90%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

80% acc · 7%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Takanori Gomi rounds

even

Isaac Vallie-Flagg rounds

Round 1Takanori Gomi edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control1:44

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 2Takanori Gomi edged it

Sig. strikes59

Takedowns0

Control0:23

52Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Takanori Gomi edged it

Sig. strikes44

Takedowns0

Control1:46

28Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:10Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

130 / 240

Sig Strikes

107 / 217

52.7%

Sig Str %

48%

153 / 263

Total Strikes

211 / 322

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

3:53

Ctrl Time

1:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Isaac Vallie-Flagg	27 / 61	41 / 75	0 / 1
1	Takanori Gomi	27 / 64	34 / 71	0 / 0
2	Isaac Vallie-Flagg	52 / 96	61 / 105	0 / 0
2	Takanori Gomi	59 / 101	63 / 105	0 / 0
3	Isaac Vallie-Flagg	28 / 60	109 / 142	1 / 1
3	Takanori Gomi	44 / 75	56 / 87	0 / 0

Takanori Gomi

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights13

Isaac Vallie-Flagg

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4