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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Takanori Gomi won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1362

Elo1352

Takanori GomivsEiji MitsuokaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · Saturday, February 25, 2012Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Takanori Gomi won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:21

Style matchupTakanori Gomi: Well-roundedvsEiji Mitsuoka: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Takanori Gomi wins(50.2%)

Actual result: Takanori Gomi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Takanori Gomi at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Takanori Gomi enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Takanori Gomi is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Eiji Mitsuoka has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Takanori Gomi has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Takanori Gomi has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Takanori Gomi

Red Corner

Eiji Mitsuoka

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+230

(30%)

1362

Elo

1352

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'7"

177.8 cm

Reach

173 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Takanori GomiL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Myles Jury · Sep 14

KOvs Joe Lauzon · Jul 15

KOvs Jim Miller · Jul 16

SUBvs Jon Tuck · Jun 17

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Sep 17

latest

Eiji Mitsuoka

oldest →

KOvs Nik Lentz · Aug 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Takanori GomiMetricEiji Mitsuoka

3.81

Strikes / min

1.49

3.52

Strikes absorbed / min

2.26

60%

Strike defense

45%

1.23

TDs / 15 min

2.30

63%

Takedown defense

20%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.29Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap-0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Takanori GomiEiji Mitsuoka

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Takanori Gomi(10 fights)Eiji Mitsuoka(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +10.3|Blue -10.3

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -49.2|Blue +49.2

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Takanori GomiTargetEiji Mitsuoka

By target zone

39% acc · 71%

Head

48% acc · 97%

65% acc · 23%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

36% acc · 65%

Distance

49% acc · 100%

71% acc · 21%

Clinch

0% acc

88% acc · 15%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Takanori Gomi rounds

even

Eiji Mitsuoka rounds

Round 1Eiji Mitsuoka edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:49Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Takanori Gomi edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:26

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:38Control

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 107

Sig Strikes

32 / 66

43%

Sig Str %

47%

95 / 156

Total Strikes

34 / 69

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 4

—

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:26

Ctrl Time

1:27

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Eiji Mitsuoka	22 / 43	23 / 45	0 / 2	1
1	Takanori Gomi	15 / 44	17 / 46	0 / 0	0
2	Eiji Mitsuoka	10 / 23	11 / 24	1 / 2	0
2	Takanori Gomi	33 / 63	78 / 110	0 / 0	0

Takanori Gomi

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights13

Eiji Mitsuoka

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach—

Fights2