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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Dong Hyun Ma won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1362
Takanori Gomi
Elo1379

Takanori GomivsDong Hyun MaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · Friday, September 22, 2017Saitama, Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Dong Hyun Ma won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:30

Model Prediction: Dong Hyun Ma wins(66.9%)

Actual result: Dong Hyun Ma wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dong Hyun Ma at -350 American odds

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Takanori Gomi enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Takanori Gomi is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Dong Hyun Ma has lost 80% of fights by KO.
  • Takanori Gomi has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Takanori Gomi (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Takanori Gomi
Red Corner
VS
Dong Hyun Ma
Blue Corner
+290
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-350
(78%)
1362
Elo
1379
47
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Takanori GomiL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Apr 14
L
KOvs Myles Jury · Sep 14
L
KOvs Joe Lauzon · Jul 15
L
KOvs Jim Miller · Jul 16
L
SUBvs Jon Tuck · Jun 17
latest
Dong Hyun MaL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Brendan O'Reilly · Dec 16
W
vs Damien Brown · Feb 18
L
KOvs Devonte Smith · Feb 19
L
KOvs Scott Holtzman · Aug 19
L
DECvs Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer · Dec 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Takanori GomiMetricDong Hyun Ma
3.81
Strikes / min
2.84
3.52
Strikes absorbed / min
4.10
60%
Strike defense
54%
1.23
TDs / 15 min
1.27
63%
Takedown defense
33%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29Δ 1.55 — meaningful gap-1.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1442 vs 1484Strikes30.4 vs 41.0Takedowns0.1 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.9 vs 0.0
Takanori GomiDong Hyun Ma

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Takanori Gomi(10 fights)Dong Hyun Ma(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -17.1|Blue +17.1
Recent Form
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -196.0|Blue +196.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Takanori GomiTargetDong Hyun Ma

By target zone

1
50% acc · 50%
Head
8
53% acc · 62%
1
100% acc · 50%
Body
2
100% acc · 15%
0
Leg
3
100% acc · 23%

By position

2
67% acc · 100%
Distance
8
89% acc · 62%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
5
45% acc · 38%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Takanori Gomi rounds
0
even
1
Dong Hyun Ma rounds
Round 1Dong Hyun Ma edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
2 / 3
Sig Strikes
13 / 20
66%
Sig Str %
65%
2 / 3
Total Strikes
13 / 20
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dong Hyun Ma13 / 2013 / 200 / 00
1Takanori Gomi2 / 32 / 30 / 00

Takanori Gomi

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights13

Dong Hyun Ma

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8