← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Diego Sanchez won · S-DEC R3

Elo1362

Elo1493

Takanori GomivsDiego SanchezUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · Saturday, March 2, 2013Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Diego Sanchez won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Diego Sanchez wins(67.8%)

Actual result: Diego Sanchez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Diego Sanchez at -231 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Takanori Gomi enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Takanori Gomi has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Takanori Gomi

Red Corner

Diego Sanchez

Blue Corner

+211

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-231

(70%)

1362

Elo

1493

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Takanori GomiL5 streak

oldest →

KOvs Myles Jury · Sep 14

KOvs Joe Lauzon · Jul 15

KOvs Jim Miller · Jul 16

SUBvs Jon Tuck · Jun 17

KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Sep 17

latest

Diego Sanchez

oldest →

vs Craig White · Sep 18

KOvs Mickey Gall · Mar 19

vs Michael Chiesa · Jul 19

vs Michel Pereira · Feb 20

vs Jake Matthews · Sep 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Takanori GomiMetricDiego Sanchez

3.81

Strikes / min

2.69

3.52

Strikes absorbed / min

3.02

60%

Strike defense

56%

1.23

TDs / 15 min

1.51

63%

Takedown defense

46%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Takanori GomiDiego Sanchez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Takanori Gomi(10 fights)Diego Sanchez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -130.8|Blue +130.8

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -269.0|Blue +269.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Takanori GomiTargetDiego Sanchez

By target zone

36% acc · 59%

Head

29% acc · 45%

81% acc · 36%

Body

77% acc · 37%

44% acc · 5%

Leg

86% acc · 18%

By position

45% acc · 100%

Distance

45% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Takanori Gomi rounds

even

Diego Sanchez rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:03

22Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 2Takanori Gomi edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Takanori Gomi edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

81 / 180

Sig Strikes

65 / 145

45.3%

Sig Str %

45.7%

81 / 180

Total Strikes

68 / 149

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 5

—

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Diego Sanchez	22 / 41	25 / 45	2 / 2	1
1	Takanori Gomi	28 / 50	28 / 50	0 / 0	0
2	Diego Sanchez	27 / 49	27 / 49	0 / 2	0
2	Takanori Gomi	31 / 65	31 / 65	0 / 0	0
3	Diego Sanchez	16 / 55	16 / 55	0 / 1	0
3	Takanori Gomi	22 / 65	22 / 65	0 / 0	0

Takanori Gomi

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights13

Diego Sanchez

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights19