Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Tainara Lisboa won · U-DEC R3

Elo1477

Elo1447

Tainara LisboavsRavena OliveiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Saturday, October 14, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tainara Lisboa won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Tainara Lisboa wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Tainara Lisboa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tainara Lisboa threatens submissions; Ravena Oliveira has lost 33% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Tainara Lisboa

Red Corner

Ravena Oliveira

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1477

Elo

1447

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

170.18 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tainara LisboaL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jessica-Rose Clark · May 23

SUBvs Luana Santos · May 25

KOvs Melissa Croden · Oct 25

latest

Ravena OliveiraL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Stephanie Luciano · Oct 25

KOvs Shanelle Dyer · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tainara LisboaMetricRavena Oliveira

2.01

Strikes / min

1.91

2.88

Strikes absorbed / min

3.72

45%

Strike defense

46%

1.67

TDs / 15 min

0.88

53%

Takedown defense

46%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.87evenly matched on net striking-1.81

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tainara LisboaRavena Oliveira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tainara Lisboa(4 fights)Ravena Oliveira(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +30.0|Blue -30.0

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tainara LisboaTargetRavena Oliveira

By target zone

38% acc · 50%

Head

43% acc · 67%

89% acc · 44%

Body

50% acc · 20%

50% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 13%

By position

35% acc · 39%

Distance

46% acc · 87%

92% acc · 61%

Clinch

67% acc · 13%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tainara Lisboa rounds

even

Ravena Oliveira rounds

Round 1Tainara Lisboa edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control1:19

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:15Control

Round 2Tainara Lisboa edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control4:47

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Ravena Oliveira edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control0:49

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 35

Sig Strikes

15 / 31

48%

Sig Str %

31.3%

77 / 106

Total Strikes

61 / 87

3 / 8

TDs

2 / 3

52.7%

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

6:55

Ctrl Time

5:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ravena Oliveira	4 / 12	19 / 34	1 / 2
1	Tainara Lisboa	8 / 13	28 / 39	1 / 3
2	Ravena Oliveira	0 / 1	8 / 9	0 / 0
2	Tainara Lisboa	2 / 6	34 / 43	1 / 1
3	Ravena Oliveira	11 / 18	34 / 44	1 / 1
3	Tainara Lisboa	8 / 16	15 / 24	1 / 4

Tainara Lisboa

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights4

Ravena Oliveira

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights3