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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
6 days away
Elo1455
Tai Tuivasa
Elo1493

Tai TuivasavsRobelis DespaigneUFC Prediction

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · Saturday, September 19, 2026Los Angeles, USA

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Robelis Despaigne has a 23cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Tai Tuivasa
Red Corner
VS
Robelis Despaigne
Blue Corner
+423
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-601
(86%)
1455
Elo
1493
33
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'7"
190.5 cm
Reach
213.36 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23
L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24
L
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 24
L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26
L
DECvs Louie Sutherland · May 26
latest
Robelis DespaigneL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Josh Parisian · Mar 24
L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · May 24
L
vs Austen Lane · Oct 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tai TuivasaMetricRobelis Despaigne
3.37
Strikes / min
2.11
4.61
Strikes absorbed / min
2.54
42%
Strike defense
46%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
58%
Takedown defense
50%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.24evenly matched on net striking-0.43
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401460148015001520← oldermost recent →
Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)Robelis Despaigne(3 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO88%

Historical win share: Robelis Despaigne earned 100% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission12%

Limited submission threat from either side.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Tai Tuivasa

StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights17

Robelis Despaigne

StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach84.0"
Fights3