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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Tafon Nchukwi won · U-DEC

Elo1470

Elo1488

Tafon NchukwivsJamie PickettUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Saturday, December 19, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tafon Nchukwi won

U-DEC

Style matchupTafon Nchukwi: Pressure fightervsJamie Pickett: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Tafon Nchukwi wins(75.8%)

Actual result: Tafon Nchukwi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tafon Nchukwi at -335 American odds

+$30 profit

$130 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Tafon Nchukwi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jamie Pickett enters on a 5-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Tafon Nchukwi

Red Corner

Jamie Pickett

Blue Corner

-335

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+275

(27%)

1470

Elo

1488

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'2"

195.58 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tafon NchukwiL3 streak

oldest →

vs Junyong Park · May 21

vs Mike Rodriguez · Sep 21

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Mar 22

KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Jun 22

vs AJ Dobson · Aug 23

latest

Jamie PickettL5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Feb 22

KOvs Denis Tiuliulin · Sep 22

SUBvs Bo Nickal · Mar 23

vs Josh Fremd · Aug 23

vs Eryk Anders · Mar 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tafon NchukwiMetricJamie Pickett

5.57

Strikes / min

2.65

4.11

Strikes absorbed / min

3.62

54%

Strike defense

50%

0.76

TDs / 15 min

1.26

64%

Takedown defense

67%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.46Δ 2.43 — meaningful gap-0.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tafon NchukwiJamie Pickett

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tafon Nchukwi(6 fights)Jamie Pickett(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -18.2|Blue +18.2

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tafon NchukwiTargetJamie Pickett

By target zone

53% acc · 58%

Head

41% acc · 70%

92% acc · 41%

Body

89% acc · 20%

100% acc · 1%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

50% acc · 49%

Distance

51% acc · 98%

90% acc · 48%

Clinch

25% acc · 3%

67% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tafon Nchukwi rounds

even

Jamie Pickett rounds

Round 1Tafon Nchukwi edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:21

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:32Control

Round 2Tafon Nchukwi edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:53

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Tafon Nchukwi edged it

Sig. strikes44

Takedowns0

Control1:37

Knockdowns1

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

120 / 187

Sig Strikes

40 / 81

64%

Sig Str %

46%

159 / 234

Total Strikes

40 / 81

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 4

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

2:51

Ctrl Time

0:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jamie Pickett	9 / 17	9 / 17	1 / 2
1	Tafon Nchukwi	35 / 58	43 / 66	0 / 1
2	Jamie Pickett	25 / 43	25 / 43	0 / 2
2	Tafon Nchukwi	41 / 69	54 / 82	0 / 0
3	Jamie Pickett	6 / 21	6 / 21	0 / 0
3	Tafon Nchukwi	44 / 60	62 / 86	0 / 1

Tafon Nchukwi

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights6

Jamie Pickett

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights9