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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Tae Hyun Bang won · S-DEC R3
Elo1491
Elo1356

Tae Hyun BangvsLeo KuntzUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · Saturday, November 28, 2015Seoul, South Korea

Official fight result

Tae Hyun Bang won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Tae Hyun Bang wins(60.9%)

Actual result: Tae Hyun Bang wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tae Hyun Bang at +270 American odds

+$270 profit

$370 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Tae Hyun Bang has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Tae Hyun Bang has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Tae Hyun Bang (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Tae Hyun Bang
Red Corner
VS
Leo Kuntz
Blue Corner
+270
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-330
(77%)
1491
Elo
1356
43
Age
42
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tae Hyun BangL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Mairbek Taisumov · Jan 14
W
KOvs Kajan Johnson · Jun 14
L
SUBvs Jon Tuck · May 15
L
vs Nick Hein · Sep 16
latest
Leo Kuntz
oldest →
L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · May 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tae Hyun BangMetricLeo Kuntz
2.72
Strikes / min
1.68
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
3.80
66%
Strike defense
45%
0.49
TDs / 15 min
1.99
57%
Takedown defense
33%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.65Δ 2.77 — meaningful gap-2.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1482Strikes24.0 vs 7.0Takedowns0.3 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.5 vs -1.0
Tae Hyun BangLeo Kuntz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Tae Hyun Bang(5 fights)Leo Kuntz(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +134.8|Blue -134.8
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tae Hyun BangTargetLeo Kuntz

By target zone

50
48% acc · 93%
Head
25
32% acc · 81%
3
75% acc · 6%
Body
4
44% acc · 13%
1
100% acc · 2%
Leg
2
50% acc · 6%

By position

41
47% acc · 76%
Distance
27
32% acc · 87%
4
36% acc · 7%
Clinch
2
50% acc · 6%
9
82% acc · 17%
Ground
2
100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Tae Hyun Bang rounds
2
even
0
Leo Kuntz rounds
Round 1Tae Hyun Bang edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:07
Knockdowns1
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:52Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:07
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:31Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control0:11
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
54 / 109
Sig Strikes
31 / 91
49.7%
Sig Str %
33.3%
68 / 124
Total Strikes
74 / 137
1 / 1
TDs
3 / 12
100%
TD %
26%
2
Sub Att
1
1
Rev
0
0:25
Ctrl Time
6:25

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Leo Kuntz13 / 4020 / 491 / 30
1Tae Hyun Bang24 / 5124 / 510 / 01
2Leo Kuntz11 / 2925 / 431 / 51
2Tae Hyun Bang18 / 3420 / 370 / 00
3Leo Kuntz7 / 2229 / 451 / 40
3Tae Hyun Bang12 / 2424 / 361 / 11

Tae Hyun Bang

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights5

Leo Kuntz

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2