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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Loopy Godinez won · S-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1507

Tabatha RiccivsLoopy GodinezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · Saturday, November 11, 2023New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Loopy Godinez won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTabatha Ricci: WrestlervsLoopy Godinez: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Tabatha Ricci wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Loopy Godinez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tabatha Ricci at +175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Tabatha Ricci

Red Corner

Loopy Godinez

Blue Corner

+175

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-230

(70%)

1492

Elo

1507

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'2"

154.94 cm

Reach

154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tabatha RicciL2 streak

oldest →

vs Angela Hill · Aug 24

vs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 24

KOvs Amanda Ribas · Jul 25

DECvs Virna Jandiroba · Apr 26

DECvs Fatima Kline · Jul 26

latest

Loopy Godinez

oldest →

vs Virna Jandiroba · Mar 24

vs Mackenzie Dern · Aug 24

vs Julia Polastri · Mar 25

vs Jessica Andrade · Aug 25

SUBvs Tatiana Suarez · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tabatha RicciMetricLoopy Godinez

4.00

Strikes / min

4.43

4.83

Strikes absorbed / min

3.94

57%

Strike defense

62%

2.51

TDs / 15 min

2.99

65%

Takedown defense

76%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.83Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap+0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Tabatha RicciLoopy Godinez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Tabatha Ricci(10 fights)Loopy Godinez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -15.2|Blue +15.2

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tabatha RicciTargetLoopy Godinez

By target zone

35% acc · 81%

Head

41% acc · 83%

73% acc · 10%

Body

79% acc · 15%

50% acc · 10%

Leg

100% acc · 2%

By position

36% acc · 93%

Distance

41% acc · 87%

100% acc · 5%

Clinch

92% acc · 11%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Tabatha Ricci rounds

even

Loopy Godinez rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:51

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Loopy Godinez edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:08

36Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Loopy Godinez edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:23

39Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

84 / 224

Sig Strikes

98 / 221

37.3%

Sig Str %

44%

91 / 232

Total Strikes

101 / 225

0 / 6

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:22

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Loopy Godinez	23 / 73	23 / 73	0 / 0
1	Tabatha Ricci	22 / 61	24 / 64	0 / 3
2	Loopy Godinez	36 / 72	38 / 75	0 / 0
2	Tabatha Ricci	31 / 90	32 / 91	0 / 2
3	Loopy Godinez	39 / 76	40 / 77	0 / 1
3	Tabatha Ricci	31 / 73	35 / 77	0 / 1

Tabatha Ricci

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights12

Loopy Godinez

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights14