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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

SuYoung You won · U-DEC R3

Elo1511

Elo1484

SuYoung YouvsAJ CunninghamUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Saturday, March 15, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

SuYoung You won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSuYoung You: WrestlervsAJ Cunningham: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: SuYoung You wins(79.0%)

Actual result: SuYoung You wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

SuYoung You at -550 American odds

+$18 profit

$118 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

SuYoung You has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
SuYoung You has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
AJ Cunningham has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

SuYoung You

Red Corner

AJ Cunningham

Blue Corner

-550

(85%)

Vegas Odds

+410

(20%)

1511

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'10"

165.1 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

SuYoung You

oldest →

vs Baergeng Jieleyisi · Nov 24

vs Xiao Long · Aug 25

SUBvs Elijah Smith · Mar 26

latest

AJ Cunningham

oldest →

KOvs Ludovit Klein · Mar 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

SuYoung YouMetricAJ Cunningham

2.15

Strikes / min

4.22

2.01

Strikes absorbed / min

6.31

68%

Strike defense

48%

4.26

TDs / 15 min

0.00

66%

Takedown defense

46%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.14Δ 2.23 — meaningful gap-2.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

SuYoung YouAJ Cunningham

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

SuYoung You(4 fights)AJ Cunningham(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +26.9|Blue -26.9

Recent Form

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Layoff

Red -266.0|Blue +266.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

SuYoung YouTargetAJ Cunningham

By target zone

38% acc · 44%

Head

24% acc · 69%

100% acc · 28%

Body

100% acc · 6%

83% acc · 28%

Leg

67% acc · 25%

By position

58% acc · 100%

Distance

31% acc · 100%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

SuYoung You rounds

even

AJ Cunningham rounds

Round 1SuYoung You edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control2:26

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2SuYoung You edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control2:07

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3SuYoung You edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns2

Control3:21

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 32

Sig Strikes

16 / 52

50%

Sig Str %

26.3%

77 / 96

Total Strikes

19 / 55

5 / 10

TDs

0 / 0

49.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:54

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	AJ Cunningham	9 / 26	9 / 26	0 / 0	0
1	SuYoung You	7 / 10	20 / 24	2 / 3	0
2	AJ Cunningham	6 / 19	9 / 22	0 / 0	1
2	SuYoung You	10 / 18	36 / 47	1 / 3	0
3	AJ Cunningham	1 / 7	1 / 7	0 / 0	0
3	SuYoung You	1 / 4	21 / 25	2 / 4	1

SuYoung You

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4

AJ Cunningham

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights2