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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Sodiq Yusuff won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1379
Suman Mokhtarian
Elo1486

Suman MokhtarianvsSodiq YusuffUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · Saturday, December 1, 2018Adelaide, South Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Sodiq Yusuff won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:14

Model Prediction: Suman Mokhtarian wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Sodiq Yusuff wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Suman Mokhtarian at +450 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Sodiq Yusuff enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Sodiq Yusuff has 62pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Suman Mokhtarian
Red Corner
VS
Sodiq Yusuff
Blue Corner
+450
(18%)
Vegas Odds
-600
(86%)
1379
Elo
1486
34
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Suman Mokhtarian
oldest →
L
DECvs Seungwoo Choi · Dec 19
latest
Sodiq YusuffL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Alex Caceres · Mar 22
W
SUBvs Don Shainis · Oct 22
L
vs Edson Barboza · Oct 23
L
KOvs Diego Lopes · Apr 24
L
vs Mairon Santos · May 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Suman MokhtarianMetricSodiq Yusuff
2.21
Strikes / min
5.27
6.85
Strikes absorbed / min
4.29
48%
Strike defense
53%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.36
0%
Takedown defense
62%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-4.64Δ 5.62 — meaningful gap+0.98
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Suman Mokhtarian(2 fights)Sodiq Yusuff(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -107.0|Blue +107.0
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Suman MokhtarianTargetSodiq Yusuff

By target zone

1
20% acc · 20%
Head
18
47% acc · 78%
3
100% acc · 60%
Body
4
100% acc · 17%
1
100% acc · 20%
Leg
1
100% acc · 4%

By position

3
43% acc · 60%
Distance
19
53% acc · 83%
2
100% acc · 40%
Clinch
4
57% acc · 17%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Suman Mokhtarian rounds
0
even
1
Sodiq Yusuff rounds
Round 1Sodiq Yusuff edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:34
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:57Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
5 / 9
Sig Strikes
23 / 43
55%
Sig Str %
53%
6 / 10
Total Strikes
44 / 66
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:34
Ctrl Time
0:57

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Sodiq Yusuff23 / 4344 / 660 / 00
1Suman Mokhtarian5 / 96 / 100 / 00

Suman Mokhtarian

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2

Sodiq Yusuff

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10