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Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Lawrence Lui won · S-DEC R3

Elo1483

Elo1517

SulangrangbovsLawrence LuiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · Saturday, January 31, 2026Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Lawrence Lui won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSulangrangbo: StrikervsLawrence Lui: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Lawrence Lui wins(70.4%)

Actual result: Lawrence Lui wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Lawrence Lui at +235 American odds

+$235 profit

$335 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Lawrence Lui has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Stance matchup historically favors Sulangrangbo (53.5%).
Lawrence Lui has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Sulangrangbo

Red Corner

Lawrence Lui

Blue Corner

-290

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1483

Elo

1517

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'7"

167.64 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

SulangrangboMetricLawrence Lui

3.96

Strikes / min

3.72

3.20

Strikes absorbed / min

3.32

62%

Strike defense

60%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

5.30

72%

Takedown defense

100%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.76evenly matched on net striking+0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

SulangrangboLawrence Lui

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -34.6|Blue +34.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

SulangrangboTargetLawrence Lui

By target zone

46% acc · 95%

Head

32% acc · 79%

38% acc · 5%

Body

38% acc · 12%

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

43% acc · 93%

Distance

30% acc · 75%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

55% acc · 12%

Ground

100% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Sulangrangbo rounds

even

Lawrence Lui rounds

Round 1Lawrence Lui edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:09

12Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

1:41Control

Round 2Lawrence Lui edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:05

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:00Control

Round 3Lawrence Lui edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:18Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 125

Sig Strikes

52 / 150

43.7%

Sig Str %

34%

62 / 131

Total Strikes

82 / 181

0 / 0

TDs

7 / 15

—

TD %

47%

Sub Att

Rev

0:14

Ctrl Time

4:59

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Lawrence Lui	12 / 40	20 / 48	4 / 8
1	Sulangrangbo	25 / 44	27 / 46	0 / 0
2	Lawrence Lui	20 / 53	25 / 59	1 / 4
2	Sulangrangbo	12 / 38	14 / 40	0 / 0
3	Lawrence Lui	20 / 57	37 / 74	2 / 3
3	Sulangrangbo	19 / 43	21 / 45	0 / 0

Sulangrangbo

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights1

Lawrence Lui

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights1