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FIGHTDETECTIVE
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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Su Mudaerji won · KO/TKO
Elo1522
Elo1491

Su MudaerjivsMalcolm GordonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · Saturday, November 28, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Su Mudaerji won

KO/TKO

Model Prediction: Su Mudaerji wins(83.1%)

Actual result: Su Mudaerji wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Su Mudaerji at -335 American odds

+$30 profit

$130 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Malcolm Gordon enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Malcolm Gordon (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Su Mudaerji
Red Corner
VS
Malcolm Gordon
Blue Corner
-335
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
1522
Elo
1491
24
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Su MudaerjiW2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Louis Smolka · Nov 18
W
vs Andre Soukhamthath · Aug 19
W
vs Zarrukh Adashev · Jan 21
latest
Malcolm GordonL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Francisco Figueiredo · Jul 21
W
KOvs Denys Bondar · Feb 22
L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 22
L
KOvs Jake Hadley · Mar 23
L
SUBvs Jimmy Flick · Jan 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Su MudaerjiMetricMalcolm Gordon
—
Strikes / min
2.50
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.00
—
Strike defense
43%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.72
—
Takedown defense
26%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1484Strikes5.0 vs 0.6Takedowns0.7 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.40 vs 0.00Form0.3 vs -1.0
Su MudaerjiMalcolm Gordon

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Su Mudaerji(10 fights)Malcolm Gordon(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +30.4|Blue -30.4
Recent Form
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red +322.0|Blue -322.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Su Mudaerji

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4

Malcolm Gordon

StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7