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Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Stipe Miocic won · KO/TKO R5
Elo1494
Stipe Miocic
Elo1369
Mark Hunt

Stipe MiocicvsMark HuntUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · Saturday, May 9, 2015Adelaide, South Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Stipe Miocic won

KO/TKO · Round 5 · 2:47

Style matchupStipe Miocic: Pressure fightervsMark Hunt: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Stipe Miocic wins(66.2%)

Actual result: Stipe Miocic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Stipe Miocic at -235 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Stipe Miocic is a KO finisher (64% of wins). Mark Hunt has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Mark Hunt is a KO finisher (88% of wins). Stipe Miocic has lost 80% of fights by KO.
  • Stipe Miocic has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Stipe Miocic
Red Corner
VS
Mark Hunt
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
1494
Elo
1369
43
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
5'10"
203.2 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Stipe MiocicL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Jul 18
W
KOvs Daniel Cormier · Aug 19
W
vs Daniel Cormier · Aug 20
L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Mar 21
L
KOvs Jon Jones · Nov 24
latest
Mark HuntL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Alistair Overeem · Mar 17
W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jun 17
L
vs Curtis Blaydes · Feb 18
L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Sep 18
L
vs Justin Willis · Dec 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Stipe MiocicMetricMark Hunt
4.67
Strikes / min
2.81
4.01
Strikes absorbed / min
2.90
52%
Strike defense
51%
1.74
TDs / 15 min
0.51
65%
Takedown defense
64%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.66evenly matched on net striking-0.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1550 vs 1530Strikes52.8 vs 32.7Takedowns1.3 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.11Form0.1 vs -0.0
Stipe MiocicMark Hunt

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Stipe Miocic(10 fights)Mark Hunt(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +124.9|Blue -124.9
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Stipe MiocicTargetMark Hunt

By target zone

105
61% acc · 93%
Head
29
33% acc · 88%
7
100% acc · 6%
Body
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 1%
Leg
4
80% acc · 12%

By position

48
51% acc · 42%
Distance
30
33% acc · 91%
8
44% acc · 7%
Clinch
3
50% acc · 9%
57
85% acc · 50%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

5
Stipe Miocic rounds
0
even
0
Mark Hunt rounds
Round 1Stipe Miocic edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control2:09
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Stipe Miocic edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns1
Control2:34
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Stipe Miocic edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns2
Control4:38
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Stipe Miocic edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control4:26
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Stipe Miocic edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control2:40
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
113 / 180
Sig Strikes
33 / 96
70.4%
Sig Str %
25.4%
361 / 464
Total Strikes
46 / 109
6 / 8
TDs
0 / 0
80%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
16:27
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Mark Hunt15 / 4217 / 440 / 00
1Stipe Miocic16 / 3948 / 761 / 20
2Mark Hunt14 / 3816 / 400 / 00
2Stipe Miocic33 / 6356 / 911 / 20
3Mark Hunt3 / 76 / 100 / 00
3Stipe Miocic34 / 41125 / 1492 / 20
4Stipe Miocic24 / 3162 / 751 / 10
4Mark Hunt1 / 77 / 130 / 00
5Mark Hunt0 / 20 / 20 / 00
5Stipe Miocic6 / 670 / 731 / 10

Stipe Miocic

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19

Mark Hunt

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16