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Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Stipe Miocic won · U-DEC

Elo1494

Elo1388

Stipe MiocicvsDaniel CormierUFC Prediction Result

UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · Saturday, August 15, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Stipe Miocic won

U-DEC

Style matchupStipe Miocic: Pressure fightervsDaniel Cormier: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Stipe Miocic wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Stipe Miocic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Stipe Miocic at -106 American odds

+$94 profit

$194 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Daniel Cormier has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stipe Miocic has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Stipe Miocic

Red Corner

Daniel Cormier

Blue Corner

-106

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-112

(53%)

1494

Elo

1388

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'4"

Height

5'11"

203.2 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Stipe MiocicL2 streak

oldest →

vs Francis Ngannou · Jan 18

KOvs Daniel Cormier · Jul 18

KOvs Daniel Cormier · Aug 19

KOvs Francis Ngannou · Mar 21

KOvs Jon Jones · Nov 24

latest

Daniel Cormier

oldest →

SUBvs Anthony Johnson · Apr 17

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jan 18

KOvs Stipe Miocic · Jul 18

SUBvs Derrick Lewis · Nov 18

KOvs Stipe Miocic · Aug 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Stipe MiocicMetricDaniel Cormier

4.67

Strikes / min

4.25

4.01

Strikes absorbed / min

2.92

52%

Strike defense

54%

1.74

TDs / 15 min

1.83

65%

Takedown defense

80%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.66evenly matched on net striking+1.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Stipe MiocicDaniel Cormier

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Stipe Miocic(10 fights)Daniel Cormier(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +106.2|Blue -106.2

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Stipe MiocicTargetDaniel Cormier

By target zone

49% acc · 58%

Head

53% acc · 67%

91% acc · 27%

Body

46% acc · 10%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

89% acc · 23%

By position

101

60% acc · 88%

Distance

56% acc · 90%

78% acc · 12%

Clinch

83% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Stipe Miocic rounds

even

Daniel Cormier rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:38Control

Round 2Stipe Miocic edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:09

Knockdowns1

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Stipe Miocic edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control1:53

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 4Daniel Cormier edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control1:23

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 5Stipe Miocic edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control2:27

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

115 / 187

Sig Strikes

105 / 183

61.2%

Sig Str %

57.4%

171 / 244

Total Strikes

145 / 223

0 / 6

TDs

1 / 2

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

5:52

Ctrl Time

0:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Daniel Cormier	14 / 25	14 / 25	1 / 1
1	Stipe Miocic	20 / 33	22 / 35	0 / 0
2	Daniel Cormier	26 / 53	26 / 53	0 / 0
2	Stipe Miocic	24 / 39	38 / 54	0 / 2
3	Daniel Cormier	16 / 32	34 / 50	0 / 0
3	Stipe Miocic	28 / 48	46 / 66	0 / 0
4	Stipe Miocic	16 / 32	23 / 39	0 / 2
4	Daniel Cormier	30 / 43	41 / 54	0 / 1
5	Daniel Cormier	19 / 30	30 / 41	0 / 0
5	Stipe Miocic	27 / 35	42 / 50	0 / 2

Stipe Miocic

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights19

Daniel Cormier

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14