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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Noad Lahat won · U-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1490

Steven SilervsNoad LahatUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · Saturday, July 26, 2014San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

Noad Lahat won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSteven Siler: Well-roundedvsNoad Lahat: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Steven Siler wins(70.9%)

Actual result: Noad Lahat wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Steven Siler at -210 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Steven Siler has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Steven Siler

Red Corner

Noad Lahat

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1353

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'9"

177.8 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Steven SilerL2 streak

oldest →

vs Darren Elkins · Nov 12

vs Kurt Holobaugh · Apr 13

KOvs Mike Brown · Aug 13

vs Dennis Bermudez · Nov 13

KOvs Rony Jason · Mar 14

latest

Noad Lahat

oldest →

KOvs Godofredo Pepey · Mar 14

vs Niklas Backstrom · Jun 15

KOvs Diego Rivas · Feb 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Steven SilerMetricNoad Lahat

3.21

Strikes / min

2.79

2.96

Strikes absorbed / min

1.47

54%

Strike defense

63%

0.47

TDs / 15 min

2.37

55%

Takedown defense

16%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

2.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.25Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap+1.32

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Steven SilerNoad Lahat

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Steven Siler(9 fights)Noad Lahat(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -137.1|Blue +137.1

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +3.0|Blue -3.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Steven SilerTargetNoad Lahat

By target zone

33% acc · 74%

Head

21% acc · 58%

50% acc · 6%

Body

17% acc · 4%

88% acc · 20%

Leg

83% acc · 38%

By position

39% acc · 91%

Distance

25% acc · 85%

33% acc · 3%

Clinch

29% acc · 6%

Ground

100% acc · 15%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Steven Siler rounds

even

Noad Lahat rounds

Round 1Noad Lahat edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:45Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:45

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 3Steven Siler edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control2:58

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 92

Sig Strikes

26 / 91

38%

Sig Str %

29%

56 / 119

Total Strikes

76 / 143

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 17

—

TD %

17.7%

Sub Att

Rev

3:43

Ctrl Time

3:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Noad Lahat	7 / 20	32 / 45	3 / 9	0
1	Steven Siler	9 / 21	10 / 23	0 / 0	0
2	Noad Lahat	11 / 40	22 / 51	1 / 5	2
2	Steven Siler	12 / 35	13 / 36	0 / 0	0
3	Noad Lahat	8 / 31	22 / 47	0 / 3	0
3	Steven Siler	14 / 36	33 / 60	0 / 0	0

Steven Siler

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights9

Noad Lahat

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4