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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Steven Siler won · U-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1352

Steven SilervsJosh CloptonUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale · Saturday, December 3, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Steven Siler won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSteven Siler: Well-roundedvsJosh Clopton: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Josh Clopton wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Steven Siler wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Josh Clopton at +150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Steven Siler enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Josh Clopton has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Steven Siler

Red Corner

Josh Clopton

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1353

Elo

1352

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'6"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Steven SilerL3 streak

oldest →

vs Kurt Holobaugh · Apr 13

KOvs Mike Brown · Aug 13

vs Dennis Bermudez · Nov 13

KOvs Rony Jason · Mar 14

vs Noad Lahat · Jul 14

latest

Josh Clopton

oldest →

vs Rani Yahya · Aug 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Steven SilerMetricJosh Clopton

3.21

Strikes / min

1.60

2.96

Strikes absorbed / min

2.87

54%

Strike defense

50%

0.47

TDs / 15 min

2.00

55%

Takedown defense

75%

1.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.25Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-1.27

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Steven Siler(9 fights)Josh Clopton(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Steven SilerTargetJosh Clopton

By target zone

39% acc · 50%

Head

50% acc · 42%

91% acc · 42%

Body

100% acc · 30%

75% acc · 8%

Leg

92% acc · 28%

By position

31% acc · 31%

Distance

52% acc · 40%

82% acc · 69%

Clinch

91% acc · 47%

Ground

86% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Steven Siler rounds

even

Josh Clopton rounds

Round 1Steven Siler edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:02

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:55Control

Round 2Steven Siler edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:14

22Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:17Control

Round 3Josh Clopton edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:07

6Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:33Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

72 / 133

Sig Strikes

43 / 62

48.7%

Sig Str %

68%

133 / 196

Total Strikes

84 / 105

0 / 1

TDs

4 / 6

TD %

66%

Sub Att

Rev

0:23

Ctrl Time

7:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Josh Clopton	15 / 25	26 / 38	0 / 0	0
1	Steven Siler	24 / 45	37 / 59	0 / 0	1
2	Josh Clopton	22 / 28	32 / 38	2 / 3	0
2	Steven Siler	41 / 66	55 / 81	0 / 1	1
3	Josh Clopton	6 / 9	26 / 29	2 / 3	0
3	Steven Siler	7 / 22	41 / 56	0 / 0	0

Steven Siler

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights9

Josh Clopton

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach—

Fights2