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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Steven Siler won · SUB R1
Elo1353
Steven Siler
Elo1352

Steven SilervsJoey GambinoUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · Friday, June 22, 2012Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Steven Siler won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:47

Model Prediction: Steven Siler wins(75.1%)

Actual result: Steven Siler wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Steven Siler at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Steven Siler enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Steven Siler
Red Corner
VS
Joey Gambino
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
1353
Elo
1352
39
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
178 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Steven SilerL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Apr 13
W
KOvs Mike Brown · Aug 13
L
vs Dennis Bermudez · Nov 13
L
KOvs Rony Jason · Mar 14
L
vs Noad Lahat · Jul 14
latest
Joey Gambino
oldest →
L
vs Diego Brandao · Oct 12
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Steven SilerMetricJoey Gambino
3.21
Strikes / min
2.47
2.96
Strikes absorbed / min
2.53
54%
Strike defense
51%
0.47
TDs / 15 min
0.00
55%
Takedown defense
42%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.25evenly matched on net striking-0.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1532 vs 1500Strikes76.5 vs —Takedowns0.5 vs —Sub Atts1.50 vs —Form1.0 vs 0.0
Steven SilerJoey Gambino

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Steven Siler(9 fights)Joey Gambino(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +1.7|Blue -1.7
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -47.6|Blue +47.6
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Steven SilerTargetJoey Gambino

By target zone

9
69% acc · 75%
Head
2
17% acc · 40%
3
100% acc · 25%
Body
1
100% acc · 20%
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 40%

By position

2
50% acc · 17%
Distance
4
33% acc · 80%
6
75% acc · 50%
Clinch
1
33% acc · 20%
4
100% acc · 33%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Steven Siler rounds
0
even
0
Joey Gambino rounds
Round 1Steven Siler edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control1:09
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
12 / 16
Sig Strikes
5 / 15
75%
Sig Str %
33%
27 / 32
Total Strikes
5 / 15
1 / 3
TDs
0 / 2
33%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:09
Ctrl Time
0:25

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Joey Gambino5 / 155 / 150 / 20
1Steven Siler12 / 1627 / 321 / 31

Steven Siler

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9

Joey Gambino

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach—
Fights2