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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Brandon Davis won · U-DEC R3

Elo1455

Elo1438

Steven PetersonvsBrandon DavisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · Sunday, February 18, 2018Austin, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Brandon Davis won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSteven Peterson: Pressure fightervsBrandon Davis: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Brandon Davis wins(54.9%)

Actual result: Brandon Davis wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brandon Davis at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brandon Davis enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Steven Peterson

Red Corner

Brandon Davis

Blue Corner

+130

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-150

(60%)

1455

Elo

1438

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

177.8 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Steven PetersonL2 streak

oldest →

vs Alex Caceres · Jul 19

KOvs Martin Bravo · Sep 19

vs Chase Hooper · Jun 21

vs Julian Erosa · Feb 22

vs Lucas Alexander · Mar 23

latest

Brandon DavisL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Randy Costa · Apr 19

vs Kyung Ho Kang · Aug 19

vs Giga Chikadze · Sep 19

KOvs Batgerel Danaa · Oct 21

vs Mana Martinez · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Steven PetersonMetricBrandon Davis

4.76

Strikes / min

4.68

5.94

Strikes absorbed / min

4.62

53%

Strike defense

58%

1.42

TDs / 15 min

0.74

64%

Takedown defense

57%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.18Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap+0.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Steven PetersonBrandon Davis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Steven Peterson(8 fights)Brandon Davis(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +17.7|Blue -17.7

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Steven PetersonTargetBrandon Davis

By target zone

21% acc · 75%

Head

34% acc · 73%

67% acc · 16%

Body

63% acc · 11%

55% acc · 8%

Leg

83% acc · 17%

By position

24% acc · 89%

Distance

108

39% acc · 95%

50% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 5%

67% acc · 3%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Steven Peterson rounds

even

Brandon Davis rounds

Round 1Brandon Davis edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:00

39Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Brandon Davis edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns1

Control1:40

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

Round 3Brandon Davis edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:09

47Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

73 / 286

Sig Strikes

114 / 285

25%

Sig Str %

39.7%

82 / 296

Total Strikes

119 / 291

1 / 10

TDs

0 / 1

8.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:49

Ctrl Time

0:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Brandon Davis	39 / 106	39 / 106	0 / 0
1	Steven Peterson	26 / 109	26 / 109	0 / 1
2	Brandon Davis	28 / 70	33 / 76	0 / 1
2	Steven Peterson	20 / 72	29 / 82	1 / 4
3	Brandon Davis	47 / 109	47 / 109	0 / 0
3	Steven Peterson	27 / 105	27 / 105	0 / 5

Steven Peterson

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8

Brandon Davis

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9