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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Steve Bosse won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1359

Steve BossevsSean O'ConnellUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · Saturday, June 18, 2016Ottawa, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Steve Bosse won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSteve Bosse: Pressure fightervsSean O'Connell: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Sean O'Connell wins(61.4%)

Actual result: Steve Bosse wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean O'Connell at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Steve Bosse is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Sean O'Connell has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Steve Bosse has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Steve Bosse

Red Corner

Sean O'Connell

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1491

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'1"

182.88 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Steve Bosse

oldest →

KOvs Thiago Santos · Jun 15

KOvs James Te Huna · Mar 16

latest

Sean O'ConnellL2 streak

oldest →

vs Gian Villante · Jun 14

KOvs Matt Van Buren · Jan 15

KOvs Anthony Perosh · May 15

KOvs Ilir Latifi · Jan 16

KOvs Corey Anderson · Dec 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Steve BosseMetricSean O'Connell

5.99

Strikes / min

5.46

5.38

Strikes absorbed / min

6.77

50%

Strike defense

45%

0.92

TDs / 15 min

0.00

100%

Takedown defense

30%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.61Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap-1.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Steve BosseSean O'Connell

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Steve Bosse(3 fights)Sean O'Connell(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +131.9|Blue -131.9

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -2.5|Blue +2.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -62.0|Blue +62.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Steve BosseTargetSean O'Connell

By target zone

51% acc · 82%

Head

44% acc · 75%

86% acc · 13%

Body

89% acc · 20%

63% acc · 5%

Leg

80% acc · 5%

By position

48% acc · 60%

Distance

47% acc · 76%

83% acc · 16%

Clinch

73% acc · 13%

59% acc · 24%

Ground

53% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Steve Bosse rounds

even

Sean O'Connell rounds

Round 1Sean O'Connell edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:17

Knockdowns0

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:47Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Steve Bosse edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns1

Control2:26

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:04Control

Round 3Sean O'Connell edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

40Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:23Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

93 / 172

Sig Strikes

84 / 167

53.7%

Sig Str %

52.3%

120 / 202

Total Strikes

124 / 209

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 3

25%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:43

Ctrl Time

3:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Sean O'Connell	32 / 72	48 / 88	0 / 0
1	Steve Bosse	26 / 45	39 / 58	0 / 1
2	Sean O'Connell	12 / 20	29 / 37	0 / 2
2	Steve Bosse	39 / 64	53 / 81	1 / 2
3	Sean O'Connell	40 / 75	47 / 84	0 / 1
3	Steve Bosse	28 / 63	28 / 63	0 / 0

Steve Bosse

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights3

Sean O'Connell

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights7