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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Irina Alekseeva won · SUB R1

Elo1490

Elo1466

Stephanie EggervsIrina AlekseevaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · Saturday, April 29, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Irina Alekseeva won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:11

Model Prediction: Irina Alekseeva wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Irina Alekseeva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Irina Alekseeva at +280 American odds

+$280 profit

$380 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Irina Alekseeva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stephanie Egger threatens submissions; Irina Alekseeva has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Irina Alekseeva threatens submissions; Stephanie Egger has lost 50% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Stephanie Egger

Red Corner

Irina Alekseeva

Blue Corner

-350

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+280

(26%)

1490

Elo

1466

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Stephanie Egger

oldest →

KOvs Shanna Young · Oct 21

SUBvs Jessica-Rose Clark · Feb 22

SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Aug 22

SUBvs Ailin Perez · Sep 22

vs Luana Santos · Dec 23

latest

Irina AlekseevaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Melissa Mullins · Oct 23

vs Klaudia Sygula · Jun 25

SUBvs Bia Mesquita · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Stephanie EggerMetricIrina Alekseeva

2.20

Strikes / min

3.42

2.48

Strikes absorbed / min

5.02

52%

Strike defense

45%

2.48

TDs / 15 min

0.38

50%

Takedown defense

50%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.28Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap-1.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Stephanie EggerIrina Alekseeva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Stephanie Egger(7 fights)Irina Alekseeva(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.3|Blue -24.3

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Stephanie EggerTargetIrina Alekseeva

By target zone

18% acc · 33%

Head

23% acc · 39%

Body

88% acc · 39%

86% acc · 67%

Leg

80% acc · 22%

By position

38% acc · 100%

Distance

40% acc · 94%

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Stephanie Egger rounds

even

Irina Alekseeva rounds

Round 1Irina Alekseeva edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 24

Sig Strikes

18 / 44

37%

Sig Str %

40%

9 / 24

Total Strikes

18 / 44

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Irina Alekseeva	18 / 44	18 / 44	0 / 1	1
1	Stephanie Egger	9 / 24	9 / 24	0 / 0	0

Stephanie Egger

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7

Irina Alekseeva

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights4