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Women's Featherweight

3 Rounds

Stephanie Egger won · SUB R2

Elo1490

Elo1546

Stephanie EggervsAilin PerezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · Saturday, September 3, 2022Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Stephanie Egger won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:54

Style matchupStephanie Egger: WrestlervsAilin Perez: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Ailin Perez wins(54.2%)

Actual result: Stephanie Egger wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ailin Perez at +220 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stephanie Egger enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ailin Perez enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ailin Perez has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ailin Perez (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Stephanie Egger

Red Corner

Ailin Perez

Blue Corner

-260

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+220

(31%)

1490

Elo

1546

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'6"

Height

5'5"

172.72 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Stephanie EggerL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Shanna Young · Oct 21

SUBvs Jessica-Rose Clark · Feb 22

SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Aug 22

SUBvs Irina Alekseeva · Apr 23

vs Luana Santos · Dec 23

latest

Ailin PerezW5 streak

oldest →

vs Lucie Pudilova · Nov 23

vs Joselyne Edwards · Jun 24

SUBvs Daria Zhelezniakova · Sep 24

vs Karol Rosa · Jan 25

vs Macy Chiasson · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Stephanie EggerMetricAilin Perez

2.20

Strikes / min

2.88

2.48

Strikes absorbed / min

1.58

52%

Strike defense

56%

2.48

TDs / 15 min

4.90

50%

Takedown defense

72%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.28Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap+1.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Stephanie EggerAilin Perez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Stephanie Egger(7 fights)Ailin Perez(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -56.4|Blue +56.4

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Stephanie EggerTargetAilin Perez

By target zone

56% acc · 60%

Head

35% acc · 44%

100% acc · 20%

Body

75% acc · 56%

100% acc · 20%

Leg

0% acc

By position

45% acc · 33%

Distance

32% acc · 50%

100% acc · 20%

Clinch

100% acc · 38%

88% acc · 47%

Ground

67% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Stephanie Egger rounds

even

Ailin Perez rounds

Round 1Stephanie Egger edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control3:41

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:31Control

Round 2Stephanie Egger edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control3:18

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 22

Sig Strikes

16 / 34

67.5%

Sig Str %

46.5%

47 / 64

Total Strikes

41 / 61

2 / 7

TDs

1 / 3

29%

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

6:59

Ctrl Time

1:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ailin Perez	7 / 16	13 / 23	1 / 3	0
1	Stephanie Egger	8 / 11	23 / 32	1 / 4	0
2	Ailin Perez	9 / 18	28 / 38	0 / 0	0
2	Stephanie Egger	7 / 11	24 / 32	1 / 3	1

Stephanie Egger

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7

Ailin Perez

StanceSwitch

Height65.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7