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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Travis Browne won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1391

Elo1361

Stefan StruvevsTravis BrowneUFC Prediction Result

UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · Saturday, May 28, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Travis Browne won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:11

Style matchupStefan Struve: Well-roundedvsTravis Browne: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Travis Browne wins(56.6%)

Actual result: Travis Browne wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Travis Browne at -128 American odds

+$78 profit

$178 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Stefan Struve is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Travis Browne has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Travis Browne is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Stefan Struve has lost 70% of fights by KO.
Travis Browne has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stefan Struve has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Stefan Struve

Red Corner

Travis Browne

Blue Corner

+118

(46%)

Vegas Odds

-128

(56%)

1391

Elo

1361

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'11"

Height

6'6"

213.36 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Stefan StruveL2 streak

oldest →

vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18

vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19

KOvs Ben Rothwell · Dec 19

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20

latest

Travis BrowneL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jan 16

KOvs Cain Velasquez · Jul 16

vs Fabricio Werdum · Sep 16

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 17

SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Stefan StruveMetricTravis Browne

3.12

Strikes / min

2.93

4.04

Strikes absorbed / min

4.31

46%

Strike defense

42%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

1.21

55%

Takedown defense

75%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.92evenly matched on net striking-1.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Stefan StruveTravis Browne

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Stefan Struve(10 fights)Travis Browne(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +29.6|Blue -29.6

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Layoff

Red -175.0|Blue +175.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Stefan StruveTargetTravis Browne

By target zone

27% acc · 40%

Head

39% acc · 53%

80% acc · 40%

Body

67% acc · 24%

67% acc · 20%

Leg

57% acc · 24%

By position

38% acc · 80%

Distance

34% acc · 59%

100% acc · 20%

Clinch

100% acc · 24%

Ground

100% acc · 18%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Stefan Struve rounds

even

Travis Browne rounds

Round 1Travis Browne edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:39

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:13Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

10 / 23

Sig Strikes

17 / 36

43%

Sig Str %

47%

10 / 23

Total Strikes

17 / 37

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:39

Ctrl Time

1:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Travis Browne	17 / 36	17 / 37	1 / 1	0
1	Stefan Struve	10 / 23	10 / 23	0 / 0	2

Stefan Struve

StanceOrthodox

Height83.0"

Reach84.0"

Fights20

Travis Browne

StanceOrthodox

Height78.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights16