← All fights/Event page

Heavyweight

5 Rounds

Stefan Struve won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1391

Elo1494

Stefan StruvevsStipe MiocicUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · Saturday, September 29, 2012Nottingham, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Stefan Struve won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:50

Style matchupStefan Struve: Well-roundedvsStipe Miocic: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Stipe Miocic wins(65.6%)

Actual result: Stefan Struve wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Stipe Miocic at -165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stefan Struve is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Stipe Miocic has lost 80% of fights by KO.
Stipe Miocic is a KO finisher (64% of wins). Stefan Struve has lost 70% of fights by KO.
Stefan Struve has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Stefan Struve

Red Corner

Stipe Miocic

Blue Corner

+155

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-165

(62%)

1391

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'11"

Height

6'4"

213.36 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Stefan StruveL2 streak

oldest →

vs Andrei Arlovski · Mar 18

vs Marcin Tybura · Jul 18

SUBvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Feb 19

KOvs Ben Rothwell · Dec 19

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Oct 20

latest

Stipe MiocicL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Daniel Cormier · Jul 18

KOvs Daniel Cormier · Aug 19

vs Daniel Cormier · Aug 20

KOvs Francis Ngannou · Mar 21

KOvs Jon Jones · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Stefan StruveMetricStipe Miocic

3.12

Strikes / min

4.67

4.04

Strikes absorbed / min

4.01

46%

Strike defense

52%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

1.74

55%

Takedown defense

65%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.92Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap+0.66

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Stefan StruveStipe Miocic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Stefan Struve(10 fights)Stipe Miocic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -103.4|Blue +103.4

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Stefan StruveTargetStipe Miocic

By target zone

37% acc · 72%

Head

35% acc · 50%

71% acc · 9%

Body

89% acc · 33%

100% acc · 19%

Leg

100% acc · 17%

By position

46% acc · 100%

Distance

49% acc · 96%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Stefan Struve rounds

even

Stipe Miocic rounds

Round 1Stipe Miocic edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 2Stefan Struve edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

57 / 128

Sig Strikes

48 / 95

43.5%

Sig Str %

49%

57 / 128

Total Strikes

48 / 95

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 3

—

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Stipe Miocic	33 / 62	33 / 62	1 / 2
1	Stefan Struve	20 / 51	20 / 51	0 / 0
2	Stipe Miocic	15 / 33	15 / 33	0 / 1
2	Stefan Struve	37 / 77	37 / 77	0 / 0

Stefan Struve

StanceOrthodox

Height83.0"

Reach84.0"

Fights20

Stipe Miocic

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights19