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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Dennis Siver won · U-DEC R3

Elo1351

Elo1491

Spencer FishervsDennis SiverUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · Saturday, June 19, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dennis Siver won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupSpencer Fisher: Well-roundedvsDennis Siver: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Spencer Fisher wins(67.5%)

Actual result: Dennis Siver wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Spencer Fisher at -190 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Spencer Fisher enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Spencer Fisher (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Spencer Fisher

Red Corner

Dennis Siver

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+165

(38%)

1351

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Spencer FisherL3 streak

oldest →

vs Curt Warburton · Oct 10

vs Ross Pearson · Feb 11

KOvs Thiago Tavares · Aug 11

vs Sam Stout · Jun 12

latest

Dennis Siver

oldest →

KOvs Cub Swanson · Jul 13

vs Charles Rosa · Oct 14

KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 15

vs Tatsuya Kawajiri · Jun 15

vs BJ Penn · Jun 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Spencer FisherMetricDennis Siver

3.17

Strikes / min

3.87

3.03

Strikes absorbed / min

2.67

64%

Strike defense

65%

0.67

TDs / 15 min

0.87

60%

Takedown defense

65%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.14Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap+1.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Spencer FisherDennis Siver

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Spencer Fisher(5 fights)Dennis Siver(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -139.3|Blue +139.3

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +48.7|Blue -48.7

Grappler Score

Red +49.9|Blue -49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Spencer FisherTargetDennis Siver

By target zone

22% acc · 40%

Head

16% acc · 40%

63% acc · 23%

Body

48% acc · 19%

73% acc · 37%

Leg

86% acc · 40%

By position

36% acc · 98%

Distance

30% acc · 99%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

50% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Spencer Fisher rounds

even

Dennis Siver rounds

Round 1Dennis Siver edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Dennis Siver edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 3Dennis Siver edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 142

Sig Strikes

77 / 256

36.3%

Sig Str %

29.7%

52 / 142

Total Strikes

77 / 256

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dennis Siver	18 / 71	18 / 71	0 / 0
1	Spencer Fisher	14 / 40	14 / 40	0 / 0
2	Dennis Siver	30 / 77	30 / 77	0 / 0
2	Spencer Fisher	18 / 44	18 / 44	0 / 0
3	Dennis Siver	29 / 108	29 / 108	0 / 0
3	Spencer Fisher	20 / 58	20 / 58	0 / 0

Spencer Fisher

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights5

Dennis Siver

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights13