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Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Song Yadong won · KO/TKO R5

Elo1518

Elo1500

Song YadongvsRicky SimonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · Saturday, April 29, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Song Yadong won

KO/TKO · Round 5 · 1:10

Style matchupSong Yadong: Pressure fightervsRicky Simon: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Ricky Simon wins(61.1%)

Actual result: Song Yadong wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricky Simon at -144 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Song Yadong

Red Corner

Ricky Simon

Blue Corner

+122

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-144

(59%)

1518

Elo

1500

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'6"

170.18 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Yadong

oldest →

vs Chris Gutierrez · Dec 23

vs Petr Yan · Mar 24

vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 25

vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 26

latest

Ricky Simon

oldest →

vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 24

KOvs Javid Basharat · Feb 25

vs Cameron Smotherman · Jun 25

vs Raoni Barcelos · Nov 25

vs Adrian Yanez · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song YadongMetricRicky Simon

4.42

Strikes / min

3.03

3.94

Strikes absorbed / min

3.90

55%

Strike defense

61%

0.78

TDs / 15 min

4.49

73%

Takedown defense

76%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.48Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap-0.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Song YadongRicky Simon

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Song Yadong(10 fights)Ricky Simon(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +17.3|Blue -17.3

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song YadongTargetRicky Simon

By target zone

34% acc · 52%

Head

38% acc · 80%

69% acc · 26%

Body

100% acc · 15%

88% acc · 22%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

42% acc · 81%

Distance

42% acc · 95%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

79% acc · 18%

Ground

75% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Song Yadong rounds

even

Ricky Simon rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:12

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 2Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:39Control

Round 3Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 4Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

0Knockdowns

Round 5Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:13

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

105 / 228

Sig Strikes

60 / 139

47.6%

Sig Str %

44.4%

110 / 234

Total Strikes

64 / 144

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 9

—

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:27

Ctrl Time

0:51

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ricky Simon	12 / 23	12 / 23	0 / 2
1	Song Yadong	11 / 28	11 / 28	0 / 0
2	Ricky Simon	15 / 36	19 / 41	2 / 2
2	Song Yadong	25 / 57	28 / 61	0 / 0
3	Ricky Simon	13 / 31	13 / 31	0 / 2
3	Song Yadong	20 / 57	20 / 57	0 / 0
4	Ricky Simon	15 / 39	15 / 39	0 / 3
4	Song Yadong	27 / 56	27 / 56	0 / 0
5	Song Yadong	22 / 30	24 / 32	0 / 0
5	Ricky Simon	5 / 10	5 / 10	0 / 0

Song Yadong

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights17

Ricky Simon

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights17