Skip to content
Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Kyler Phillips won · U-DEC
Elo1518
Song Yadong
Elo1476
Kyler Phillips

Song YadongvsKyler PhillipsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Saturday, March 6, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kyler Phillips won

U-DEC

Style matchupSong Yadong: Pressure fightervsKyler Phillips: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Kyler Phillips wins(55.6%)

Actual result: Kyler Phillips wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyler Phillips at +180 American odds

+$180 profit

$280 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kyler Phillips enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Kyler Phillips has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Song Yadong
Red Corner
VS
Kyler Phillips
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
1518
Elo
1476
28
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Yadong
oldest →
W
vs Chris Gutierrez · Dec 23
L
vs Petr Yan · Mar 24
W
vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 25
L
vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26
W
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 26
latest
Kyler PhillipsL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Raoni Barcelos · Aug 23
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 24
L
vs Rob Font · Oct 24
L
vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jul 25
L
DECvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song YadongMetricKyler Phillips
4.42
Strikes / min
4.75
3.94
Strikes absorbed / min
3.83
55%
Strike defense
58%
0.78
TDs / 15 min
2.82
73%
Takedown defense
75%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.48evenly matched on net striking+0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1579 vs 1531Strikes4.3 vs 5.3Takedowns0.6 vs 2.9Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.40Form1.0 vs 1.0
Song YadongKyler Phillips

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601478149515131530← oldermost recent →
Song Yadong(10 fights)Kyler Phillips(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +41.7|Blue -41.7
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +140.0|Blue -140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song YadongTargetKyler Phillips

By target zone

39
33% acc · 58%
Head
38
34% acc · 64%
20
63% acc · 30%
Body
16
70% acc · 27%
8
89% acc · 12%
Leg
5
71% acc · 8%

By position

67
42% acc · 100%
Distance
54
39% acc · 92%
0
0% acc
Clinch
2
100% acc · 3%
0
0% acc
Ground
3
100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Song Yadong rounds
0
even
2
Kyler Phillips rounds
Round 1Kyler Phillips edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:05
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 2Kyler Phillips edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:41Control
Round 3Song Yadong edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control1:01
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:28Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
67 / 161
Sig Strikes
59 / 142
42.3%
Sig Str %
40.3%
89 / 189
Total Strikes
69 / 152
0 / 0
TDs
3 / 5
TD %
66.7%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
1:06
Ctrl Time
1:36

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Kyler Phillips27 / 5928 / 601 / 10
1Song Yadong21 / 3928 / 480 / 00
2Kyler Phillips19 / 4722 / 501 / 20
2Song Yadong20 / 6123 / 640 / 00
3Kyler Phillips13 / 3619 / 421 / 20
3Song Yadong26 / 6138 / 770 / 00

Song Yadong

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights17

Kyler Phillips

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9