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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Song Yadong won · Submission R2

Elo1518

Elo1483

Song YadongvsDeiveson FigueiredoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, May 30, 2026Macau, China

Official fight result

Song Yadong won

Submission · Round 2 · 4:42

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Deiveson Figueiredo

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Deiveson Figueiredo at +405 American odds · hypothetical only

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Style matchupSong Yadong: Pressure fightervsDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo wins(50.9%)

Actual result: Song Yadong wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Song Yadong has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Song Yadong

Red Corner

Deiveson Figueiredo

Blue Corner

-563

(85%)

Vegas Odds

+405

(20%)

1518

Elo

1483

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'5"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Song Yadong

oldest →

KOvs Ricky Simon · Apr 23

vs Chris Gutierrez · Dec 23

vs Petr Yan · Mar 24

vs Henry Cejudo · Feb 25

vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26

latest

Deiveson Figueiredo

oldest →

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 24

vs Petr Yan · Nov 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Song YadongMetricDeiveson Figueiredo

4.42

Strikes / min

2.63

3.94

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

55%

Strike defense

49%

0.78

TDs / 15 min

1.61

73%

Takedown defense

57%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.48Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap-0.84

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Song Yadong(10 fights)Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +34.9|Blue -34.9

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Song YadongTargetDeiveson Figueiredo

By target zone

21% acc · 25%

Head

25% acc · 22%

57% acc · 17%

Body

71% acc · 56%

88% acc · 58%

Leg

100% acc · 22%

By position

46% acc · 96%

Distance

53% acc · 100%

50% acc · 4%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Song Yadong rounds

even

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

Round 1Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 2Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control0:03

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 52

Sig Strikes

9 / 17

45%

Sig Str %

63.5%

30 / 58

Total Strikes

17 / 26

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 4

100%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	6 / 6	14 / 15	0 / 2	0
1	Song Yadong	9 / 22	14 / 27	0 / 0	0
2	Deiveson Figueiredo	3 / 11	3 / 11	1 / 2	0
2	Song Yadong	15 / 30	16 / 31	1 / 1	1

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Song Yadong

Odds

-563

Market-implied probability

Deiveson Figueiredo 19%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Song Yadong$118

Deiveson Figueiredo (model pick · research)$505

19% market-implied · model 50% (research) · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260528_113051

🔒 Pick locked May 29, 2026, 3:48 PM UTC · never rewritten

Song Yadong

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights17

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20